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Top 10 Microbiology Journals with High Impact Factor (2023)

Here is the list of the top 10 microbiology journals with the highest impact factor for 2023 as of Journal Citation Reports 2024 (Clarivate).

  • Nature Reviews Microbiology (Impact Factor: 69.2)
  • iMeta (Impact Factor: 23.7)
  • The Lancet Microbe (Impact Factor: 20.9)
  • Cell Host and Microbe (Impact Factor: 20.6)
  • Nature Microbiology (Impact Factor: 20.5)
  • Clinical Microbiology Reviews (Impact Factor: 19.0)
  • Trends in Microbiology (Impact Factor: 14.0)
  • Microbiome (Impact Factor: 13.8)
  • Gut Microbes (Impact Factor: 12.2)
  • Clinical Microbiology and Infection (Impact Factor: 10.9)

Top 10 Microbiology Journals with Highest Impact Factor (2023)

Table of Contents

Interesting Science Videos

1. Nature Reviews Microbiology

The latest impact factor of Nature Reviews Microbiology for 2023 is 69.2.

Nature Reviews Microbiology aims to be the premier source of reviews and commentaries for the scientific communities we serve. Nature Reviews Microbiology strive to publish articles that are authoritative, accessible and enhanced with clearly understandable figures, tables and other display items. Nature Reviews Microbiology want to provide an unparalleled service to authors, referees and readers, and we work hard to maximize the usefulness and impact of each article. Nature Reviews Microbiology publishes Reviews, Perspectives and Comments from across the field of microbiology, with our broad scope ensuring that the work we publish reaches the widest possible audience.

Journal Website : https://www.nature.com/nrmicro/

The latest impact factor of iMeta for 2023 is 23.7.

iMeta  publishes open access research that unites metagenomics and bioinformatics research. The journal scope includes microbiome in humans, animals, plants, and environment, meta-omics methods/protocols development and application, bioinformatics tools, pipelines, databases, and packages, and systematic reviews in metagenomics, bioinformatics, and microbiome.

Journal Website : https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/2770596x

3. The Lancet Microbe

The latest impact factor of The Lancet Microbe for 2023 is 20.9.

The Lancet Microbe  publishes clinically relevant content on microbes at all scales—from the nature of the microbe (eg, antimicrobial resistance genes/plasmids, virulence factors) to the microbiome, to pathology (including immunology) to population level effects (eg, outbreaks, epidemiology). The Lancet Microbe also publish early phase clinical trials and other interventional studies where the outcomes are focused on the pathogen. The journal also continues in the The Lancet’s tradition of being a strong advocate for and collaborator with the community they serve. The Lancet Microbe publish a range of content types including Articles, Comment, Correspondence, Newsdesk, and Personal View.

Journal Website : https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanmic/home

4. Cell Host & Microbe

The latest impact factor of Cell Host and Microbe for 2023 is 20.6.

Cell Host & Microbe  was launched in March 2007. The journal’s mission is to provide a forum for the exchange of ideas and concepts between scientists studying the microbe with those studying the host immune, cell biological, and molecular response upon colonization or infection by a microbe. Cell Host & Microbe will publish novel findings related to microbes (which includes bacteria, fungi, parasites, and viruses) from molecular and cellular biology to translational studies with particular emphasis on the interface between the microbe and its host (vertebrate, invertebrate, or plant; unicellular or multicellular). The unifying theme is the integrated study of microbes (pathogenic, non-pathogenic, and commensal) in conjunction and communication with each other, their host, and the cellular environment they inhabit. Work published in  Cell Host & Microbe  is expected not only to be of exceptional significance within its field, but also of interest to researchers outside the immediate area. In addition to primary research manuscripts,  Cell Host & Microbe  will publish expert analysis, commentary, and reviews on topics of current interest in the field.

Journal Website : https://www.cell.com/cell-host-microbe/home

5. Nature Microbiology

The latest impact factor of Nature Microbiology for 2023 is 20.5.

Nature Microbiology   is an online-only, monthly journal publishing the best research from across the field of microbiology. All editorial decisions are made by a team of full-time professional editors. Nature Microbiology is interested in all aspects of microorganisms, be it their evolution, physiology and cell biology; their interactions with each other, with a host or with an environment; or their societal significance. Nature Microbiology provides a place where all researchers and policymakers interested in microorganisms can come together to learn about the most accomplished and significant advances in the field and to discuss topical issues. An online-only monthly journal, our broad scope ensures that the research published reaches the widest possible audience of microbiologists.

Journal Website : https://www.nature.com/nmicrobiol/

6. Clinical Microbiology Reviews

The latest impact factor of Clinical Microbiology Reviews for 2023 is 19.0.

Clinical Microbiology Reviews analyzes the latest developments in clinical microbiology and immunology. Key topics include pathogenic mechanisms, individual and groups of microbial pathogens, clinical and laboratory aspects of newly recognized and reemerging infectious diseases, antimicrobial agents and their applications, and diagnostic laboratory technologies. Clinical Microbiology Reviews (CMR) accepts authoritative narrative reviews that are of primary interest to clinical microbiologists, medical microbiologists and immunologists, public health workers, infectious disease clinicians, and others interested in the pathogenesis, laboratory diagnosis, epidemiology, and control of human and veterinary pathogens.

Journal Website : https://journals.asm.org/journal/cmr

7. Trends in Microbiology

The latest impact factor of Trends in Microbiology for 2023 is 14.0.

Trends in Microbiology   provides a multidisciplinary forum for the discussion of all aspects of microbiology: from cell biology and immunology to genetics and evolution, and ranges across virology, bacteriology, protozoology and mycology. The table of contents includes a lively mix of commentary, correspondence and review. Most articles are commissioned and all of them are peer-reviewed. Consequently, they make an authoritative basis for teaching and keeping abreast of developments across the field. The focus is on molecular microbiology and virology, and includes topics such as genomics, the gamut of plant and animal host-pathogen interactions, host immune responses, characterization and evolution of virulence determinants, cell cycle and differentiation, symbiosis in plant and animal associations, environmental microbiology, biodiversity and evolution, population dynamics, sex and mutagenesis, antibiotic resistance and production, drug and vaccine targets, as well as aspects of prion diseases and of fungal and protozoan biology.

Journal Website : https://www.cell.com/trends/microbiology/home

8. Microbiome

The latest impact factor of Microbiome for 2023 is 13.8.

Microbiome encompasses studies of microbiomes colonizing humans, animals, plants or the environment, both built and natural or manipulated, as in agriculture. Studies on the development and application of meta-omics approaches or novel bioinformatics tools, on community/host interaction with emphasis on structure-function relationship that would lead to substantial advances in the field will be considered for publication. Microbiome is especially interested in studies that go beyond descriptive omics surveys and include experimental or theoretical approaches that mechanistically support proposed microbiome functions, and establish, if possible, cause and effect relationships. Studies of individual microbial isolates/species in vivo or in laboratory cultures without exploring the mechanisms by which they affect the complex microbiome structures and functions will not be considered. Through this collection of literature, Microbiome hopes to integrate researchers with common scientific objectives across a broad cross-section of sub-disciplines within microbial ecology.

Journal Website : https://microbiomejournal.biomedcentral.com/

9. Gut Microbes

The latest impact factor of Gut Microbes for 2023 is 12.2.

Gut Microbes  provides a platform for presenting and discussing cutting-edge research on all aspects of microorganisms populating the intestine. The journal focuses in particular on mechanistic and cause and effect studies. Gut Microbes is the sister journal of Gut Microbes Reports, which has a greater focus on emerging topics and comparative and incremental studies.  Gut Microbes  brings together a multidisciplinary community of scientists working in the areas of Profiling the intestinal microbiota, Gastrointestinal disease: mechanisms, host defense, diagnosis, epidemiology, Host-pathogen interactions including enteric disease and bacterial pathogenesis, Quorum sensing and toxicity, Probiotics and prebiotics, Novel treatments and clinical trials, Role of intestinal microbiota in health and disease, etc. Gut Microbes accepts Research Papers/Reports, Reviews, Brief Reports, Research Letters, Commentaries and Views, Creative Commentaries,  Meeting Reports, Data Notes, Invited Editorials for publication.

Journal Website : https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/kgmi20

10. Clinical Microbiology and Infection

The latest impact factor of Clinical Microbiology and Infection for 2023 is 10.9.

Clinical Microbiology and Infection   (CMI) is a monthly publication in English of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases and publishes peer-reviewed papers that present basic and applied research relevant to therapy and diagnostics in the fields of microbiology, infectious diseases, virology, parasitology, immunology, and epidemiology as related to these fields.

Journal Website : https://www.clinicalmicrobiologyandinfection.com/

Disclaimer: Logos and information are only used for educational purposes. If there are any copyright issues regarding the logo and information of the journal, please email us at [email protected] .

How is the Journal Impact Factor (JIF) calculated?

The JIF is defined as citations to the journal in the JCR year to items published in the previous two years, divided by the total number of citable items, (i.e., Articles and Reviews) published in the journal in the previous two years. The JCR year is the last complete year within that year’s JCR data set. For example, the JCR year for the 2024 release is 2023.

How is the Journal Impact Factor (JIF) calculated

  • Journal Citation Reports 2024: https://jcr.clarivate.com/jcr/home
  • Nature Reviews Microbiology
  • The Lancet Microbe
  • Cell Host and Microbe
  • Nature Microbiology
  • Clinical Microbiology Reviews
  • Trends in Microbiology
  • Gut Microbes
  • Clinical Microbiology and Infection

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Sagar Aryal

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Great article! Will check out these psychology journals!

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Research reveals impact of gut microbiome on hormone levels in mice

  • Date created: 26 September 2024
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Researchers at the Francis Crick Institute have shown that the balance of bacteria in the gut can influence symptoms of hypopituitarism in mice.

They also showed that aspirin was able to improve hormone deficiency symptoms in mice with this condition.

Christophe Galichet and Robin Lovell-Badge were researching mouse Sox3 mutations, which cause hypopituitarism in mice and humans, at the National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR). When they transferred mice with Sox3  mutations from the NIMR to the Crick, they made an unexpected discovery.  

People with mutations in a gene called Sox3 develop hypopituitarism, where the pituitary gland doesn’t make enough hormones. It can result in growth problems, infertility and poor responses of the body to stress.

In research published today in PLOS Genetics , the scientists at the Crick removed Sox3 from mice, causing them to develop hypopituitarism around the time of weaning (starting to eat solid food).

They found that mutations in Sox3 largely affect the hypothalamus in the brain, which instructs the pituitary gland to release hormones. However, the gene is normally active in several brain cell types, so the first task was to ask which specific cells were most affected by its absence.

The scientists observed a reduced number of cells called NG2 glia, suggesting that these play a critical role in inducing the pituitary gland cells to mature around weaning, which was not known previously. This could explain the associated impact on hormone production.

The team then treated the mice with a low dose of aspirin for 21 days. This caused the number of NG2 glia in the hypothalamus to increase and reversed the symptoms of hypopituitarism in the mice.

Blue and red panels showing the difference in cells between normal mice and SOX3 mutants.

NG2 glia (red) in the median eminence, which connects the hypothalamus and the pituitary gland, are reduced in the mice with  Sox3  mutations (right-hand panel). 

Although it’s not yet clear how aspirin had this effect, the findings suggest that it could be explored as a potential treatment for people with Sox3 mutations or other situations where the NG2 glia are compromised.

It was a huge surprise to find that changes in the gut microbiome reversed hypopituitarism in the mice without Sox3. Christophe Galichet

An incidental discovery revealed the role of gut bacteria in hormone production

When the National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR) merged with the Crick in 2015, mouse embryos were transferred from the former building to the latter, and this included the mice with Sox3 mutations.

When these mice reached the weaning stage at the Crick, the researchers were surprised to find that they no longer had the expected hormonal deficiencies.

After exploring a number of possible causes, lead author Christophe Galichet compared the microbiome – bacteria, fungi and viruses that live in the gut – in the mice from the Crick and mice from the NIMR, observing several differences in its makeup and diversity. This could have been due to the change in diet, water environment, or other factors that accompanied the relocation.

He also examined the number of NG2 glia in the Crick mice, finding that these were also at normal levels, suggesting that the Crick-fed microbiome was somehow protective against hypopituitarism.

To confirm this theory, Christophe transplanted faecal matter retained from NIMR mice into Crick mice, observing that the Crick mice once again showed symptoms of hypopituitarism and had lower numbers of NG2 glia. 

Although the exact mechanism is unknown, the scientists conclude that the make-up of the gut microbiome is an example of an important environmental factor having a significant influence on the consequences of a genetic mutation, in this case influencing the function of the hypothalamus and pituitary gland.

Christophe Galichet , former Senior Laboratory Research Scientist at the Crick and now Research Operations Manager at the Sainsbury Wellcome Centre , said: “It was a huge surprise to find that changes in the gut microbiome reversed hypopituitarism in the mice without Sox3 . It’s reinforced to me how important it is to be aware of all variable factors, including the microbiome, when working with animals in research and how nurture can influence nature.”

Robin Lovell-Badge , Group Leader of the Stem Cell Biology and Developmental Genetics Laboratory at the Crick, said: “Hypopituitarism can result from trauma as well as rare mutations, and it can have some profound effects on health in general. As well as suggesting potential options for treatment, our work reinforces how important the gut-brain link is. The next step for this research will be to work out exactly how aspirin and the microbiome influence NG2 glia, and then study this effect in people so we can see if these relatively accessible interventions could help treat hypopituitarism.”

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Microbiome research in general and business newspapers: How many microbiome articles are published and which study designs make the news the most?

Andreu prados-bo.

1 Department of Communication, Pompeu Fabra University, Barcelona, Spain

2 Blanquerna School of Health Sciences, Ramon Llull University, Barcelona, Spain

Gonzalo Casino

3 Iberoamerican Cochrane Centre, Biomedical Research Institute Sant Pau (IIB Sant Pau), Barcelona, Spain

Associated Data

All relevant data are within the paper and its Supporting Information files.

The microbiome is a matter of interest for science, consumers and business. Our objective is to quantify that interest in academic journals and newspapers, both quantitatively and by study design. We calculated the number of articles on the microbiome from the total number of biomedicine articles featured in both PubMed and Spanish science news agency SINC, from 2008 to 2018. We used the Factiva database to identify news stories on microbiome papers in three general newspapers ( The New York Times , The Times and El País ) and three business newspapers ( The Wall Street Journal , the Financial Times and Expansión ), from 2007 to 2019. Then, we compared news stories with microbiome papers in PubMed, while also analyzing the frequencies of five study design types, both in the newspapers and in the papers themselves. Microbiome papers represented 0.8% of biomedicine papers in PubMed from 2008 to 2018 (increasing from 0.4% to 1.4%), while microbiome news published by SINC represented 1.6% of total biomedical news stories during the same period (increasing from 0.2% to 2.2%). The number of news stories on microbiome papers correlated with the number of microbiome papers (0.91, p < 0.001) featured in general newspapers, but not in business ones. News stories on microbiome papers represented 78.9% and 42.7% of all microbiome articles in general and business newspapers, respectively. Both media outlet types tended to over-report observational studies in humans while under-reporting environmental studies, while the representation of systematic reviews of randomized controlled trials, randomized controlled trials and animal/laboratory studies was similar when comparing newspapers and PubMed. The microbiome is receiving increasing attention in academic journals and newspapers. News stories on the microbiome in general and business newspapers are mostly based on research findings and are more interested in observational studies in humans and less in environmental studies compared to PubMed.

Introduction

On 19 December 2007, four years after the completion of the Human Genome Project, the Human Microbiome Project (HMP), conceived as a “second human genome project” [ 1 ], was launched. HMP focuses on microbial communities and their genomes on and in the human body, collectively known as the microbiome [ 2 ]. Research into the microbiome dates back to the early 20th century [ 3 ]. The 21st century, however, has witnessed a paradigm shift regarding the crucial role microbes play in the way ecosystems—from the ocean to the human body—function, rather than only being seen as infectious pathogens [ 4 ].

Relationships between microorganisms living in our bodies—especially in the gut—and health and risk of disease are currently a major focus of research, public interest and potential business for the pharmaceutical and health industries [ 4 ]. Much research in the field has focused on the link between the microbiome and physical and mental well-being, with current unknowns highlighting the need for advancement [ 5 ]. An altered human microbiome has been associated with the development of a wide range of diseases, including inflammatory bowel disease, metabolic syndrome, autoimmune disorders, and brain diseases, although causation has yet to be established [ 6 ]. Furthermore, microbiome research also has implications for food production [ 7 ] and for achieving an environmentally sustainable future [ 8 ].

As scholarship and investment in microbiome research develop, it is also important to address the impact of that research in general and business newspapers, which are relevant sources of information and can influence the decisions of the public, investors, health decision makers and healthcare practitioners [ 9 , 10 ]. Scientific articles mentioned in the lay press receive, on average, more citations in academic journals than comparable publications from the same journal that did not appear in the lay press [ 11 – 16 ]. The factors associated with greater levels of newspaper coverage for scientific papers have also been studied. They include the prestige of the journal [ 17 ], the availability of press releases [ 18 – 22 ], the domestic preference of newspapers for journals from their own country [ 23 ], and the newsworthiness of the topic [ 24 ].

Although nowadays many people do not obtain their information directly from newspapers, news from traditional media outlets continues to dominate the information repertoire of mobile internet users [ 25 , 26 ]. Social media, which has become an emerging source for keeping up with scientific issues [ 27 ], also relies heavily on newspapers to disseminate news among young people and adults [ 28 , 29 ].

Despite the current scientific interest in the microbiome, its social impact in newspapers has not been properly analyzed. One relevant way of studying the subject is by analyzing the number of newspaper articles in which authors, papers or journals are cited (called “press citations”) [ 18 , 23 , 30 ]. As such, our first objective was to analyze the extent to which the predictable increase in the number of microbiome papers in recent years has had a parallel impact in the press, in both general and business newspapers, given the potential for harnessing the human microbiome to prevent, diagnose or cure disease.

Previous studies showed that study designs based on weak methodology (i.e. observational and animal or laboratory studies) are more likely to be covered in newspapers than those of superior quality (i.e. randomized controlled trials) [ 18 , 31 , 32 ]. Microbiome research over the past two decades has mainly focused on characterizing microbiome composition across cohorts of clinical patients and matched controls, and on using animal models to understand the causal mechanisms [ 33 ]. We hypothesize that studies’ methodological rigor is not a major driver when selecting news stories on the microbiome for coverage by newspapers. Our second objective was to undertake a controlled comparison of the study designs of the microbiome papers featured in newspapers against those of the microbiome papers that appear in PubMed. Such an analysis allows us to build a picture of microbiome science’s current level of maturity, which shapes both society’s perception and the decisions individuals make in relation to their health.

Newspaper coverage of microbiome research

Based on previous studies of press coverage of biomedical research [ 34 – 37 ], we used the Factiva database to search for news stories on the microbiome in three general newspapers ( The New York Times , The Times and El País ) and three business newspapers ( The Wall Street Journal , the Financial Times and Expansión ) from the United States, the United Kingdom and Spain, respectively. Those three countries were selected as they were representative of three previously identified national patterns (American, British and Western World) of biomedical reporting in the press [ 23 ]. Print and online editions of each newspaper were analyzed together, after ruling out duplicate news stories. The period analyzed begins in 2007—when the HMP was launched [ 38 ]—and ends in 2019.

Fig 1 shows how news stories on the microbiome were selected and categorized. First, we identified news stories in the Factiva database from the 6 newspapers that mentioned the microbiome and its hyponyms in any part of the text, no matter how many times. We excluded duplicates, infographics and other non-relevant news stories, as well as those in which the term microbiota referred to Microbiota decussata , commonly known as Siberian cypress, or plant flora. After filtering out opinion articles and editorials [ 19 ], we went on to study the newspapers’ interest in the microbiome (first objective), for which we identified news stories that devoted 50% or more of the text length (estimated by word count) to reporting on the microbiome (n = 518) [ 39 ]. Then, to analyze which study designs made the news compared to PubMed (second objective), we focused on microbiome news stories that cited at least one scientific paper (n = 361). For this objective, news stories with the following characteristics were excluded [ 19 ]: 1) the microbiome was reported but without reference to a specific study; 2) the microbiome was not a variable of the scientific paper cited in the news story; or 3) the news story was based on premature microbiome research not published in peer-review journals, such as studies presented at scientific or press meetings and ongoing clinical trials registered in the ClinicalTrials.gov database.

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Additionally, we studied news interest in the microbiome in the context of biomedicine by quantifying news stories citing the microbiome in the headline and published by SINC, which is a Spanish publicly-funded news agency specializing in science and technology. SINC agency ( https://www.agenciasinc.es/ ) was chosen because it publishes under a Creative Commons 4.0 license and most Spanish newspapers and scientific online sources usually pick up SINC articles to inform the public.

The microbiome in the context of biomedicine

To estimate the relative interest in microbiome research in the context of biomedical research as a whole, we counted both papers on the microbiome and the total number of scientific publications in the PubMed database of biomedical literature from 2008 to 2018. News agency SINC, which classified news about biomedicine separately until 2018, was used to count the number of news stories on the microbiome against the whole of the biomedicine category. We used data from SINC because the number of news stories on biomedicine in newspapers cannot be calculated using Factiva. Thus, we had an estimate of the press interest in the microbiome from 2008 (when SINC was founded) to 2018 (when it finished categorizing news stories) to compare with the estimate in PubMed.

Study designs of microbiome papers in PubMed and research news

We adapted the criteria used by Bartlett et al. [ 18 ] and Lai and Lane [ 31 ] for categorizing the study design of medical research news to microbiome research. As such, we classified the microbiome paper study designs available in PubMed and reported in newspapers into 6 categories: 1) systematic reviews (SRs) with or without meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in humans; 2) RCTs in humans; 3) human observational studies (defined as prospective and retrospective cohort studies, ecological studies, case-control studies, SRs not of RCTs, and case series); 4) environmental & plant studies (agricultural, aquatic, atmospheric, built environment and terrestrial ecosystems) [ 40 ]; 5) animal or laboratory studies; and 6) other designs (interventional studies without randomization and/or without a control group, case reports, narrative or nonsystematic reviews, consensus and reports of expert committees). We excluded commentaries, editorials, perspectives and letters, as such articles do not usually contain research evidence and are not always peer-reviewed [ 31 ]. Each scientific study cited in the press was identified on PubMed and downloaded for study design characterization. In PubMed, we set the MeSH and natural terms search to title, abstract and keywords, and applied filters for study designs. It should be acknowledged that PubMed counts articles published in online and print versions separately [ 41 ]. The searches were performed by one author (APB) between January and March 2020. Search phrases and filters used in Factiva and PubMed are listed in the supplementary S1 and S2 Files and the data acquired and used for analyses are included in S1 Dataset .

Statistical analyses

The primary outcome variable was the number of news stories on the microbiome collected by year from 2007 to 2019 that cited at least one scientific paper. That variable was presented as the mean and standard deviation for the overall sample and subinterest groups: individual newspapers, country (United States, United Kingdom and Spain) and newspaper type (general and business).

The relationship between two quantitative variables was evaluated using the Pearson correlation (linear adjustment): the number of news stories on microbiome papers per year in newspapers and published by SINC and the number of microbiome papers per year in PubMed. The average annual percentage change was evaluated for both the overall sample and the subinterest groups: individual newspapers, country and press type. Finally, the comparison between microbiome news/biomedicine news published by SINC vs microbiome papers/biomedicine papers in PubMed was carried out using a Chi Square test.

The level of significance was set at 0.05. Version 3.5.2 of software R (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) and version 4.7.0.0 of the Joinpoint Regression Program were used for all analysis work.

Overall, 518 news stories with the microbiome as the main topic were published from 2007 to 2019, of which 361 cited at least one journal article (286 in general newspapers and 75 in business newspapers) ( Fig 1 ). News stories on microbiome papers showed an irregular pattern of evolution compared to microbiome papers in PubMed ( Fig 2A ). Apart from a peak in 2008, the interest of general newspapers in microbiome research picked up steadily after 2012 with peaks in 2013, 2016 and 2018 ( Fig 2B ). News stories on microbiome papers represented 77.9% of overall news stories on the microbiome in The New York Times , 74.1% in The Times , and 78.6% in El País . The New York Times showed the most intense microbiome research coverage (10.3 news stories on microbiome papers annually), followed by The Times (6.8 news stories on microbiome papers annually) and, lastly, El País (5.1 news stories on microbiome papers annually) ( Table 1 ).

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(A) Individual newspapers; (B) General vs business newspapers; (C) Newspapers grouped by countries (the USA, the UK and Spain); (D) Microbiome news/biomedicine news published by SINC (2008–2018) vs microbiome papers/biomedicine papers in PubMed (2007–2019). Microbiome papers in PubMed are presented as a black curve on each graph.

Annual cites from 2007 to 2019Cites in 2007Cites in 2019Average annual percentage changeCorrelations with microbiome papers in PubMed (p-value)Correlations with microbiome news published by SINC (p-value)
9297,0 (6063.3)26002129219.6%-
1111673,6 (203280.1)78593313975574.9%--
0.8%0.4%1.4%9.6%--
8,1 (5.9)0924.8% -
582.1 (81.1)666447-3.7%--
1.6%0.2%2.2%19.5%--
4.6 (4.9)2.3 (2.2)7.8 (7.5)13.9%
10.3 (6.4)52016.0% 0.48 (0.095)
6.8 (4.4)51314.3% 0.47 (0.102)
5.1 (4.0)1822.7%
4.1 (1.8)242.9%0.14 (0.652)0.35 (0.236)
1.5 (1.6)1211.8%0.39 (0.177)
0.2 (0.6)004.3%0.41 (0.166)0.11 (0.713)
USA7.2 (5.6)3.5 (2.1)12.0 (11.3)12.0%
UK4.1 (4.2)3.0 (2.8)7.5 (7.8)14.5%
Spain2.7 (3.7)0.5 (0.7)4.0 (5.7)23.1%
General newspaper7.4 (5.4)3.7 (2.3)13.7 (6.0)15.7%
Business newspaper1.9 (2.1)1.0 (1.0)2.0 (2.0)7.2%0.39 (0.185)

Mean followed by the standard deviation in parentheses is indicated for microbiome/biomedicine papers in PubMed, microbiome/biomedicine news in SINC and news stories on microbiome papers in newspapers.

1 The numbers showed the Pearson correlation coefficient.

2 News stories published by SINC were available from 2008 to 2018.

Significant p-values are highlighted in bold.

In business newspapers, news stories on microbiome papers represented 56.4% of the overall number of microbiome news stories for The Wall Street Journal , 52.8% for the Financial Times , and 18.8% for Expansión . The Wall Street Journal was the business newspaper that featured microbiome research the most, followed by the Financial Times (4.1 and 1.5 news stories on microbiome papers annually, respectively). In contrast, news stories on microbiome papers in Expansión were almost null ( Table 1 ).

The strong presence of research in news stories about the microbiome in the press was also supported by significant correlations between the number of news stories on microbiome papers in general newspapers and the number of microbiome papers in PubMed ( r = 0.91, p < 0.001). The magnitude of that association was greater for the American and British general newspapers ( r = 0.85, p = 0.002 and r = 0.81, p = 0.001, respectively) than for their Spanish counterpart ( r = 0.75, p = 0.003) ( Table 1 ). The strong interest in microbiome research shown by American newspapers compared to British and Spanish newspapers is also apparent in Fig 2C .

As shown in the PubMed curve ( Fig 2A–2C ), scientific interest in the microbiome gradually grew after 2007 and then picked up speed around 2011. The percentage of microbiome papers available in PubMed and microbiome news published by SINC against the total number of biomedicine publications increased significantly year on year, with a positive annual percentage change of 9.6% and 19.5%, respectively ( Table 1 ). Of the total biomedical literature available in PubMed from 2008 to 2018, the number of microbiome papers increased from 0.4% to 1.4%. Of all the health and biomedical news stories published by SINC, articles citing the microbiome in the headline went from 0.2% to 2.2% from 2008 to 2018, thus doubling the trends shown by PubMed ( Fig 2D and Table 1 ). The comparison between microbiome news/biomedicine news published by SINC vs microbiome papers/biomedicine papers in PubMed almost reached statistical significance (p = 0.052).

Papers covered in the news and number of press citations

In the 361 news stories on microbiome papers, 700 different papers published in scientific journals were cited. Each of those 700 papers was covered in at least one news story in one of the six newspapers. Some papers were covered several times in different news stories from different newspapers or from the same newspaper, resulting in a total of 825 press citations of the 700 papers.

The most cited papers (8 press citations) were “Artificial sweeteners induce glucose intolerance by altering the gut microbiota” (the only paper that was cited in all six newspapers) [ 42 ] and “Gut microbiota from twins discordant for obesity modulate metabolism in mice” [ 43 ]. Two papers had 7 press citations; 1 paper had 6 citations; 2 papers had 4 citations; 8 papers had 3 citations; 72 papers had 2 citations; and the remaining 613 papers had 1 press citation. The papers were cited in the newspapers generally within three months of publication (64.0% for general newspapers and 48.6% for business newspapers).

The study design of microbiome papers available in PubMed between 2007 and 2019 were as follows: 1.8% were SRs of RCTs in humans; 10.9% were RCTs in humans; 8.5% were human observational studies; 46.5% were environmental & plant studies; 30.4% were animal or laboratory studies; and 1.9% had other designs (see methods ).

Fig 3 illustrates the over-representation (the percentage of microbiome study design in the press was higher than in PubMed) or under-representation (the percentage of microbiome study design in the press was lower than in PubMed) of microbiome study designs in newspapers vs PubMed. A common pattern was observed among the general and business newspapers that was characterized by an over-representation of observational studies in humans and an under-representation of environmental & plant studies. In contrast, SRs of RCTs in humans, RCTs in humans and animal or laboratory studies tended to be represented to the same degree in newspapers as in PubMed ( Fig 3A and 3B ).

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In terms of study design, no major differences were found between countries ( Fig 3B ). However, particular features were observed when analyzing newspapers at an individual level. The New York Times showed an over-representation (five-fold increase) of SRs of RCTs in humans, while The Times over-represented (seven-fold increase) RCTs compared to PubMed. In contrast, business newspapers covered a similar number of observational studies in humans and animal/laboratory studies (58/181 and 54/181), with the latter over-represented in The Wall Street Journal ( Fig 3A ).

This is the first study to explore how high-circulation newspapers cover microbiome research in terms of the number of news stories and study design compared to PubMed. Our analysis shows some patterns across newspapers.

First, it should be noted that the proportion of papers on the microbiome in relation to all papers in PubMed has increased steadily from 2007 to 2019, with significant year-to-year growth. That proportion is difficult to estimate for newspapers as they do not classify biomedicine news separately from other news, but a similar increase is shown in publications by SINC, which categorized biomedical news separately until 2018.

Second, an increase in the number of microbiome papers from 2007 to 2019 has resulted in newspapers paying considerable attention to microbiome research, albeit not in a balanced proportion between newspapers. The first peak in press coverage of microbiome research in general newspapers, which took place in 2008, can be explained by the fact that that was the year when large human microbiome research initiatives were launched. They included the first phase of the HMP, the International Human Microbiome Consortium, the EU’s Metagenomics of the Human Intestinal Tract (METAHIT) project and the Canadian Microbiome Initiative, among others [ 40 ]. The subsequent publication of milestone papers in June 2012, reporting on five years of research, triggered an increase in the newspapers’ interest in the microbiome [ 44 ]. A news peak in 2013 was observed in The New York Times , with half of the stories covering research into microbes’ role in obesity and cardiovascular disease. That sudden increase also reflects the launch of the second wave of human microbiome projects, including the second phase of the HMP, the European Commission-funded My New Gut program and the French Government’s MetaGenoPolis program [ 40 ].

Third, business newspapers are not as sensitive to the two waves of microbiome research projects as general newspapers. That may have two explanations. On the one hand, microbiome-related patents have increased less markedly than scientific publications [ 45 ]. On the other hand, no microbiome therapeutics requiring US Food and Drug Administration and European Food Safety Authority or European Medicines Agency scrutiny have been approved for human use as yet [ 46 ].

Fourth, the American and British newspapers were the ones to mention microbiome papers the most. That is not surprising because the US-based National Institutes of Health (NIH) has provided nearly two-thirds of funding for microbiome research [ 45 ]. The findings also reflect American and British journalism’s longer scientific tradition and the countries’ dominant position in the scientific literature [ 23 ]. British and American newspapers also echo the top medical journals the most, with The New York Times standing out [ 23 ]. Similarly, The New York Times covered the Human Genome Project the most [ 1 ].

Fifth, the abundance of observational studies in humans in newspapers may be rooted in the over-representation of this kind of study design in press releases from journals and institutions [ 18 , 21 ], which can influence the content of subsequent microbiome news stories [ 22 ]. Our results are in agreement with those of Lai and Lane, who found that English-language general and business newspapers were more likely to cover observational studies and less likely to feature SRs of RCTs, RCTs and animal/laboratory studies [ 31 ]. Similar to our findings in general newspapers, the authors identified a similar percentage of systematic reviews of RCTs and animal/laboratory studies in the press (3% and 17%, respectively), but did not provide a comparison group of study designs available in PubMed [ 31 ]. Previous research showed that, when choosing observational studies, the press covers study designs of a lower quality (such as those with smaller sample sizes) compared to those published in high impact medical journals. That, in turn, might contribute to distorting the end image of medical advances [ 32 ]. The remarkable under-representation of environmental & plant studies in the newspapers under analysis might be rooted in the fact that these studies may be less newsworthy because they do not have a direct impact on human health. Indeed, surveys have shown that the topics of greatest interest to society are those of medicine and health, with scientific and technological discoveries and the environment and ecology generating far less interest [ 9 , 47 ]. Second, the level of knowledge required for journalists to understand and communicate the findings of these kinds of studies in layman’s terms can be higher than that required for observational study types, which could lead to their under-representation in the press. Third, environmental & plant studies are not usually published in top journals, which generally issue press releases, and that can have a negative effect on their impact in newspapers [ 18 – 22 ].

It is also important to acknowledge that the over-representation of observational study designs can distort the public’s perceived image of the microbiome, as those study design types are often reported inaccurately in newspapers and usually do not mention any associated caveats and limitations [ 48 ]. For instance, while an altered microbiome has been reported in a wide variety of health conditions, such as irritable bowel syndrome, obesity and depression, often, it cannot be determined whether differences in the microbiome are causing the disease or, conversely, if the disease itself is causing the differences [ 49 ]. The fact that SRs of RCTs, RCTs and animal or laboratory studies tended to be represented to the same degree in newspapers compared to PubMed, with animal or laboratory studies being the second type of study design most cited in PubMed, reflects how microbiome research is still mainly based on basic science. It is worth highlighting that the reporting of SRs of RCTs and RCTs in The New York Times and The Times , respectively, may be seen as an indicator of good quality journalism. It should also be noted that the USA and the UK are the countries that produce the most Cochrane SRs [ 50 ] and that newspapers tend to report more on domestically produced science [ 23 ]. On the other hand, the over-representation of animal/laboratory studies in the business newspapers, which is mainly down to The Wall Street Journal , is expected as preclinical microbiome research (representing 30.4% of microbiome studies in PubMed) is the first step towards developing microbiome therapies, and that is where most companies’ initial efforts begin. Only a handful of microbiome-related products have entered the end phase of clinical trials [ 46 ] and that is reflected in reduced coverage of RCTs in the business press.

Beyond the study design of microbiome papers, the fact that we focused on influential newspapers in terms of readership and circulation might explain the intense coverage of scientific articles about the microbiome, as these newspapers usually have large science and medicine sections with specialist reporters [ 23 ]. Other factors might also explain why some microbiome papers are finally echoed by newspapers. They include the impact factor of the journal [ 16 , 17 ], the availability of press releases [ 18 – 22 ], the domestic preference of newspapers for journals from their own country [ 23 ], and the newsworthiness of the topic [ 24 ]. The last factor is especially relevant in the case of the microbiome, due to the ever-increasing interest among both researchers and the lay public in targeting the microbiome to maintain health and quality of life [ 4 ]. An overall analysis considering all of these factors is needed to better elucidate how microbiome research is echoed in the media.

In the light of the ever-increasing amount of research about the link between the microbiome and human health and disease [ 4 ], one of the field’s urgent needs is precisely that of ensuring unbiased communication of microbiome research to the general public. In that regard, some journals published by the BMJ group indicate the evidence type and subjects studied to journalists when sending embargoed press releases, which may help inform reporting on microbiome findings [ 51 , 52 ]. Keeping up with the huge amount of research and publications on the microbiome and receiving training in science communication skills are also necessary for communicating microbiome research with caution and free from misinterpretation [ 4 ]. The European Society of Neurogastroenterology & Motility’s Gut Microbiota for Health platform ( https://www.gutmicrobiotaforhealth.com/ ) is an example of a project that aims to translate the latest research on the rapidly-evolving field of the gut microbiome for both the scientific community and the lay public.

Although scientific interest in microbiome research has driven an increase in news stories based on research findings, the patterns observed in study design coverage need to be tracked in order to inform on the evolution of the science behind the current microbial momentum being experienced by society. For microbiome scientists, the coverage of their research in newspapers and its dissemination in social media can improve their visibility and scientific citations. It is also important to acknowledge the potential role of media coverage in obtaining research funding, without forgetting that, although mentions of scholarly outputs on social media and news sites are becoming increasingly present in policy papers and research calls, it is too early to consider whether they contribute to the awarding of research funding [ 53 ].

One strength of our study is that we focused on both general and business newspapers ranked high in circulation from different countries over a long period of 12 years. Rather than gauging only news stories considered immediately newsworthy (that is, generated in response to a paper within 2 months of its publication), we analyzed all news stories on microbiome papers regardless of paper publication date. In addition, we analyzed the number of news stories on microbiome papers and study designs reported in newspapers vs patterns in PubMed.

Our study also has limitations. We did not focus on studying the impact of microbiome research in other mass media such as low-circulation newspapers, magazines, radio, television or the Internet. Moreover, our selection of international general and business newspapers is not representative of the general and business press around the world, even though our selection includes some of the most widely read and best quality international newspapers. Furthermore, our analysis only focuses on quantitative aspects. As a result, the study of all representations of the microbiome in the selected newspapers, regardless of whether they cite a scientific study, is limited in scope and deserves the application of a qualitative methodology that is outside the scope of our research objectives. Other authors have previously addressed newspaper coverage of the microbiome based on qualitative aspects, such as the tone of the discourse [ 54 ] and language employed to discuss advances in the microbiome [ 55 ], highlighting the need for microbiology literacy in society due to the role of microbes in the health of our planet [ 56 ]. Finally, analyzing the press citations of authors, papers or journals also has its limitations, given that their mentioning in newspaper articles does not provide any information about the context of the citation or the quality of the journalistic text.

Conclusions

Our results show that the microbiome is receiving increasing attention in both research and the press. News stories on the microbiome in both the general and business press during the period under study were mostly based on research findings. While the volume of microbiome-based scientific studies in the press mirrors the number of scientific papers in PubMed, the choice of studies covered by general and business newspapers over-represent observational studies and under-represent environmental & plant studies, while showing a similar degree of representation for SRs of RCTs, RCTs and animal or laboratory studies.

Supporting information

Acknowledgments.

We wish to thank Mireia Bosch, Juan Carlos Martín and Queralt Miró for their support with data management and statistical analyses, and María García-Puente, Alicia Jarillo and Marta Diaz for their assistance with searches in PubMed. We also appreciate the critical insights received from Prof. Paul Enck while preparing the manuscript.

Funding Statement

The authors received no specific funding for this work.

Data Availability

  • PLoS One. 2021; 16(4): e0249835.

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Microbiome research in general and business newspapers: which study designs make the news?

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APB is a paid consultant to companies commercially involved in the gut microbiota and probiotics. GC has declared no competing interests."

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Partly

Reviewer #2: Partly

2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: No

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5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: In the manuscript entitled “Microbiome research in general and business newspapers: which study designs make the news?" the Authors provide a comprehensive statistical overview of a time span of a decade of microbiome related articles in three general newspapers, three business newspapers and from scientific articles featured in PubMed, as well as in the science news agency SINC. Besides showing the increased relative abundance of microbiome associated articles in these newspapers and in the scientific database PubMed, the authors characterized the design type of the primary literature articles allowing insight onto the impact on the press. It is an interesting analysis, but the scope and conclusions are rather limited. To assure a better quality of the submitted paper, there are several suggestions to be considered:

Major points

1. The exact and long-term aim of such analysis could be better explained. It is important for researchers to translate their results to the general public. What they can improve?

2. Are the news coverages coming from the article press-releases? This is important to address.

3. It would be interesting to analyze if the citations of the paper depend on press coverage.

4. The remarkable under-representation in the press of environmental & plant studies should be better explained in the discussion. A potential reason could be that environmental & plant studies are harder to apprehend in context of the microbiome to make reader-friendly stories in the press. (?)

5. The limitations of the study by not including the impact of microbiome research in other media have been mentioned in the discussion. A short explanation of the methodological limitations using other types of media could underline the reason for the restricted methods with “only” six newspapers analyzed.

Minor points

1. The visualization of filtering process in Fig.1 could be improved by highlighting the selected paths for analysis.

Reviewer #2: In the current manuscript the authors performed an analysis of microbiome study coverage in general and business newspaper from 2008-2018. The topic is potentially of interest for the scientific community to reach the best coverage of their finding in the news. However, there are several limitations due to the reported findings.

1) For this reviewer it is completely unclear how the authors evaluated the media coverage of certain articles. As far as I interpreted the reported data, the authors have classified articles available on PubMed regarding study evidence. I would prefer to have a comparison between top quality RCTs regarding media coverage. What was the reason for reports in the media? This would support scientists in getting their research recognized by lay audience via media coverage.

2) What was the difference between the three countries and did the authors evaluate reasons for the observed differences?

3) There should be a fact box included on game changers regarding media coverage of scientific data.

4) Was the media coverage accompanied by better funding of research groups? This would be essential information that could enhance the impact of the reported data.

5) Additionally the authors only report regarding newspapers, which is not targeting the younger population. What about social media, online publications,..?

6) In the current form, the data of the manuscript might be better reported in a letter to the editor.

Minor comment:

1) Fig.1. Please specify what Op-Ed is.

2) Please provide more information about SINC (country, city) and why this agency was chosen.

6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article ( what does this mean? ). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

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Reviewer #2: No

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Author response to Decision Letter 0

29 Oct 2020

Academic editor’s comments:

Journal requirements

01 Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE’s style requirements, including those for file naming.

Both new files ‘Revised Manuscript with Track Changes’ and ‘Manuscript’ meet PLOS ONE’s style requirements regarding title, author, affiliations and main body. We have also updated file naming for figures and for supporting information, which have been resubmitted to meet PLOS requirements.

02 Thank you for stating the following in the Competing Interests section:

Please confirm that this does not alter your adherence to all PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials, by including the following statement: "This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.” (as detailed online in our guide for authors http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/competing-interests ). If there are restrictions on sharing of data and/or materials, please state these. Please note that we cannot proceed with consideration of your article until this information has been declared.

We have included our updated Competing Interests statement in the cover letter so the online submission form may be changed on our behalf.

Reviewers’ comments: review comments to the author

Reviewer #1

01 The exact and long-term aim of such analysis could be better explained. It is important for researchers to translate their results to the general public. What they can improve?

Thank you for your consideration.

We have changed the way we state the aim and scope of our analysis in the introduction and discussion of the manuscript.

02 Are the news coverages coming from the article press-releases? This is important to address.

Thank you for acknowledging this point. Although this objective has not yet been studied in the context of the microbiome, it has been subject to considerable study for different scientific and biomedical topics (Entwistle, 1995; De Semir et al., 1998; Stryker, 2002; Schwartz et al., 2012). For instance, one of the manuscript’s authors has documented that journalistic articles in the Spanish press discussing current biomedical issues are intensely mediated by press releases (Casino, 2015).

The study of microbiome-related press releases does not seem to be a priority at the moment and such an exercise will require another methodology that is outside the scope of our manuscript.

We have clarified in the introduction of the manuscript that the influence of press releases on news coverage of scientific and biomedical topics has been widely studied.

03 It would be interesting to analyze if the citations of the paper depend on press coverage.

Thank you for your observation. Previous studies cited in the manuscript’s introduction have shown that scientific articles that receive press coverage have, on average, more citations in the scientific literature compared to those not mentioned in the press.

Exploring to what extent citations of microbiome papers depend on press coverage is outside the scope of this manuscript.

In the introduction of the first submitted version of the manuscript, we cited studies (references 11-16) supporting the influence of press coverage on subsequent scientific citations.

04 The remarkable under-representation in the press of environmental & plant studies should be better explained in the discussion. A potential reason could be that environmental & plant studies are harder to apprehend in context of the microbiome to make reader-friendly stories in the press. (?)

Thank you for encouraging us to reflect on an explanation for the under-representation in the press of environmental & plant studies.

We have explained in the discussion that the remarkable under-representation of environmental & plant studies in the newspapers under analysis might have its roots in the fact that the level of knowledge required to understand and communicate their findings in layman’s terms is higher than that required for observational study types. In addition, environmental & plant studies are usually published in less prestigious journals that probably do not issue press releases. Third, the studies may be less newsworthy because do not have a direct impact on human health. We have also acknowledged that the over-representation of observational study designs can distort the public’s perceived image of the microbiome, as those study design types are often inaccurately reported in newspapers and usually do not mention any associated caveats and limitations.

05 The limitations of the study by not including the impact of microbiome research in other media have been mentioned in the discussion. A short explanation of the methodological limitations using other types of media could underline the reason for the restricted methods with “only” six newspapers analyzed.

We are aware that we have not included any other mainstream media, social media or blogs in our analysis.

In response to your insightful comment, we have stated in the introduction that, although most people go online to search for information about scientific issues, newspaper content continues to dominate the online information repertoire over other media types.

Analyzing press citations has advantages over alternative metrics (known as altmetrics) for scientific publications in websites, blogs and social media. That is because the press is the main news producer and allows for reproducible tracking of newspaper articles on a specific topic within a defined period of time via the Factiva database, used in previous studies looking at the press coverage of biomedical research. That is not always possible for a content analysis of other types of media.

In addition, the selection of the sample of six newspapers responds to three patterns of reporting biomedical research in the press—USA, UK and Western World—described by the author Gonzalo Casino (Casino et al., 2017), which has also been acknowledged in the introduction. As such, our sample selection of newspapers might be seen as an indicator of how other newspapers from the same area of the world report microbiome research.

01 The visualization of filtering process in Fig.1 could be improved by highlighting the selected paths for analysis.

We agree with your suggestion for improving the visualization of the methodology used in our manuscript.

We have changed figure 1 of the manuscript and increased the width of the lines to highlight the selected paths that have been used in our data analyses.

Reviewer #2

01 For this reviewer it is completely unclear how the authors evaluated the media coverage of certain articles. As far as I interpreted the reported data, the authors have classified articles available on PubMed regarding study evidence. I would prefer to have a comparison between top quality RCTs regarding media coverage. What was the reason for reports in the media? This would support scientists in getting their research recognized by lay audience via media coverage.

In an initial step, we downloaded all news stories on the microbiome (excluding opinion-editorial articles) and read all of them individually to identify the study mentioned, based on the author’s name, the name of the journal or by accessing the provided link to the scientific publication. Then, we proceeded with classifying the study design of the microbiome papers mentioned in the press and used study designs published in PubMed between 2007 and 2019 as a comparison group.

Analysis of the impact of study designs in the press is an active area of research that has been applied in the context of biomedical news, as stated in the methods section. We have adapted the criteria used by Bartlett et al. and Lai and Lane for categorizing the study design in newspapers in the context of microbiome research (i.e., we have created a new category for environmental & plant studies due to the special relevance of this research in the microbiome field, according to Stulberg et al.). As a result, in our analysis of newspapers and PubMed, we have considered the 6 study design categories defined in our manuscript as follows: SRs of RCTs, RCTs, observational study types, animal or laboratory studies, environmental & plant studies, and other designs.

In line with the criteria used by Bartlett et al. and Lai and Lane, and given that previous work suggests that large RCTs that report hard outcomes (i.e. high-quality RCTs) usually attract the same press interest as low-quality RCTs, we have not focused solely on the press coverage of high-quality RCTs. However, our classification does differentiate between randomized controlled trials (high-quality RCTs) and intervention studies without randomization and/or without a control group (low-quality RCTs). The latter has been included in the “other designs” category, as stated in the methods section.

Study quality is evaluated after publication and such an analysis would have required a specific methodology (such as the GRADE system), which is outside the scope of this study.

In the methods section, we have clarified the method used for classifying all of the different study design types mentioned in microbiome news stories.

02 What was the difference between the three countries and did the authors evaluate reasons for the observed differences?

Thank you for acknowledging this point.

First of all, we have clarified in the methods section that the three countries (USA, UK and Spain) were selected as they were representative of three previously identified national patterns of biomedical reporting in the press (American, British and Western World).

We have stated in the results section that American newspapers showed a greater interest in microbiome research, followed by British newspapers and, lastly, Spanish newspapers. When it comes to study design, no major differences were found between countries, as shown in figure 3B. However, at an individual level, The New York Times showed an over-representation of SRs of RCTs in humans, while The Times over-represented RCTs compared to PubMed.

We have also evaluated in detail in the discussion the reasons behind the observed differences. American and British newspapers’ considerable interest in microbiome research compared to the Spanish press might reflect the USA and the UK’s longer and more far-reaching scientific tradition and that tradition’s dominant position in the scientific literature. Second, British and American newspapers also echo the top medical journals the most. Third, the over-representation of SRs of RCTs and RCTs in The New York Times and The Times, respectively, may be because the USA and the UK are the countries that produce the most Cochrane SRs and newspapers tend to report more on domestically produced science.

03 There should be a fact box included on game changers regarding media coverage of scientific data.

We agree with the fact that it is important to dedicate special attention in our manuscript to changes in the landscape of coverage of scientific data with the emergence of social media and blogs as news sources.

In the introduction section, we have devoted several paragraphs to discussing online content and social media as new players involved in how scientific data is covered by the media. We also discuss social media’s impact on how the lay public engages with science, but also as a means by which scientists can improve their citations in academic journals. Although the lay public uses the internet as the main source for keeping up-to-date with scientific issues, newspaper content still dominates the online information repertoire and social media are used by newspapers as a way of amplifying their own content.

04 Was the media coverage accompanied by better funding of research groups? This would be essential information that could enhance the impact of the reported data.

Thank you for your comment on the relationship between the funding of research and media coverage of scientific articles.

There is little data in the literature regarding whether media coverage of scientific articles is used by funding entities to assign money for research and this objective is outside the scope of our manuscript.

Competitive research funding devotes part of the budget to communication and dissemination activities, which means more visibility in the media for the research group and thus greater probability of obtaining funding. However, media coverage is only one of the factors that can improve the funding of research projects.

As explained in the discussion, although mentions of scholarly outputs in social media and news sites are increasingly included in policy papers and research calls, it is too early to consider whether they contribute to the awarding of research funding.

05 Additionally the authors only report regarding newspapers, which is not targeting the younger population. What about social media, online publications,..?

We are aware that we have not included social media and other online publications in our analysis.

In the updated version of our manuscript, we have stated in the introduction that even though most people go online to search for information about scientific issues, newspaper content still dominates the online information repertoire over other types of media. In addition, the social media platforms used by the younger population tend to get their information from digital newspaper content. As we are aware of the changing landscape in which traditional media is moving from print to digital platforms, we included in our analysis the digital version of the newspapers under study when they were included in the Factiva database.

06 In the current form, the data of the manuscript might be better reported in a letter to the editor.

We appreciate the reviewer’s suggestion, but both authors consider that the results of this manuscript are original and novel and therefore are a better fit for the research article category. Furthermore, as far as we know, PLOS ONE does not include letters to the editor.

Minor comments

01 Fig. 1. Please specify what Op-Ed is.

Fig. 1 has been updated and includes the explanation of what Op-Ed is (i.e., opinion-editorial articles).

02 Please provide more information about SINC (country, city) and why this agency was chosen.

In the methods section (subsection “Newspaper coverage of microbiome research”), we have provided detailed information about SINC.

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

Decision Letter 1

22 Feb 2021

PONE-D-20-23472R1

Microbiome research in general and business newspapers: how many microbiome articles are published and which study designs make the news the most?

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process. In particular, please address the concerns raised by reviewer 3.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Apr 08 2021 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at gro.solp@enosolp . When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Yann Benetreau, Ph.D.

Senior Editor (Staff Editor), PLOS ONE

Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.

Additional Editor Comments (if provided):

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #3: (No Response)

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

Reviewer #3: Partly

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #2: N/A

Reviewer #3: Yes

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

6. Review Comments to the Author

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

Reviewer #3: The second version of the paper addresses most of the comments made by the first round reviewers. Anyway, there are still some points that need to be considered before publication. They are the following:

a) applying the exclusion criteria proposed by the Authors, the news related to microbioma without an explicit reference to scientific papers remain out of the analysis. This is not a problem per se, but if the Authors claim to study the "social impact" of the microbioma's research the generic discourse about it in the newspapers is a relevant aspect. As a consequence, it cannot be completely ignored and if the Authors decide to leave this aspect outside the paper, it should be discussed, at least;

b) moreover, taking into account the above cited selection criteria, it is not surprising "the strong presence of research in the news stories about microbiome in the press". This result, indeed, mostly depends on precisely the application of such exclusion criteria;

c) it should be explained why the scientific papers most cited in the news have gained such a position. In other words, why these paper are more newsworthy than others?

d) the Authors listed three reasons for explaining “the remarkable under-representation of environmental & plant studies in the newspapers”. The last is that this kind of “studies may be less newsworthy because do not have a direct impact on human health”, but I wonder whether this can be actually the first and the most relevant.

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article ( what does this mean? ). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

Reviewer #3: No

Author response to Decision Letter 1

11 Mar 2021

Academic editor’s comments

Question 1: Please review your reference list to ensure that it is complete and correct. If you have cited papers that have been retracted, please include the rationale for doing so in the manuscript text, or remove these references and replace them with relevant current references. Any changes to the reference list should be mentioned in the rebuttal letter that accompanies your revised manuscript. If you need to cite a retracted article, indicate the article’s retracted status in the References list and also include a citation and full reference for the retraction notice.

Answer 1: The reference list of the manuscript has been reviewed in detail. It does not contain papers that have been retracted nor unavailable and unpublished work and personal communications.

All the references included in the manuscript as it stands now meet criteria specified in PLoS One submission guidelines ( https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-references ).

Question 1 from reviewer 3: Applying the exclusion criteria proposed by the Authors, the news related to microbioma without an explicit reference to scientific papers remain out of the analysis. This is not a problem per se, but if the Authors claim to study the "social impact" of the microbioma's research the generic discourse about it in the newspapers is a relevant aspect. As a consequence, it cannot be completely ignored and if the Authors decide to leave this aspect outside the paper, it should be discussed, at least.

Answer question 1 from reviewer 3:

Thank you for acknowledging this point as this question needs to be discussed in depth.

For our first objective of quantifying the six newspapers’ interest in the microbiome, we focused both on news stories on the microbiome that cite at least one scientific paper (361/518=69.7%) and news stories on the microbiome that do not reference a scientific paper (157/518=30.3%), in relation to the total number of news stories that had the microbiome as the main topic. For the second objective of quantifying which microbiome study design made the news the most, we only focused on news stories that explicitly mentioned a scientific publication on the microbiome because we wanted to quantitatively compare that to PubMed publications.

News stories on the microbiome that did not reference a scientific paper can be addressed according to a qualitative methodology that explores several variables, including the topics addressed and the language used to discuss the latest scientific advances in microbiome research. However, this research objective is outside the scope of our manuscript. It should also be acknowledged that other authors have focused on studying news stories on the microbiome from the perspective of language and by using a qualitative methodology (Chuong KH et al. 2015; Nerlich & Hellsten, 2009; Nerlich, 2017).

We have re-written the first part on newspaper coverage of microbiome research in the methods section to better clarify our workflow and analysis. We are aware that excluding news stories that had the microbiome as the central topic but which did not reference a scientific paper is a limitation of our manuscript and have acknowledged this point in the discussion.

Question 2 from reviewer 3: Moreover, taking into account the above cited selection criteria, it is not surprising "the strong presence of research in the news stories about microbiome in the press". This result, indeed, mostly depends on precisely the application of such exclusion criteria.

Answer question 2 from reviewer 3:

Thank you for your comment.

The microbiome is a current hot topic for newspaper coverage and, in an initial step, we applied strict selection criteria to ensure that the news stories under analysis covered the microbiome as the central topic, in an in-depth and objective way.

If a news story mentioned the microbiome or any of its synonyms in a quote, for contextualizing a recipe or in the title of a book, we did not consider them to be relevant enough in terms of informing on the microbiome. Therefore, articles that mentioned the microbiome at some point but where the microbiome was not the focus—i.e. it was discussed in less than 50% of the text—were excluded from our analysis. This sampling process is known to eliminate news stories that contain tangential microbiome-related content (i.e., false positives) (Guasch et al., 2019).

In our first objective of quantifying the newspapers’ interest in the microbiome, we found that news stories on the microbiome that do not mention a scientific article represented a minority (30.3%), in relation to the total number of news stories that had the microbiome as the main topic. As we were interested in doing a controlled comparison between the scientific literature and newspapers, in our second objective, we ruled out news stories on the microbiome that did not mention a scientific paper in order to compare the same variable (mention of a scientific paper) in the six newspapers and in articles collected via PubMed.

We have acknowledged in the discussion the limitation of not considering all representations of the microbiome, regardless of whether they cite a scientific study, in the newspapers we analyzed.

Question 3 from reviewer 3: It should be explained why the scientific papers most cited in the news have gained such a position. In other words, why these paper are more newsworthy than others?

Answer question 3 from reviewer 3:

Thank you for your observation.

There is no one factor alone that can explain why some microbiome scientific articles are more newsworthy than others. In our analysis we have shown that study design could influence journalists’ selection of the scientific papers that will be echoed in newspapers. Beyond study design, our decision to focus on influential newspapers in terms of readership and circulation might explain the intense coverage of scientific findings in the press, as these newspapers have large science and medicine sections with specialist reporters. Other factors that might also be important include the impact factor of the journal, the availability of press releases, the domestic preference of newspapers for journals from their own country, and the newsworthiness of the topic.

We have clarified in the discussion which factors, beyond study design, may explain why some microbiome scientific papers are more newsworthy than others (lines 351-362). To date, different partial analyses have been done studying which factors shape how scientific and medical findings are echoed in newspapers, while in future an overall analysis could clarify which factors have the strongest weight in determining which microbiome scientific papers are finally echoed in the media.

Question 4 from reviewer 3: The Authors listed three reasons for explaining “the remarkable under-representation of environmental & plant studies in the newspapers”. The last is that this kind of “studies may be less newsworthy because do not have a direct impact on human health”, but I wonder whether this can be actually the first and the most relevant.

Answer question 4 from reviewer 4:

Thank you for encouraging us to reflect on this explanation for the under-representation of environmental & plant studies in the newspapers under analysis.

We agree on your point of view. Therefore, we have stated in the discussion that the fact that environmental & plant studies do not have a direct impact on human health might be the most relevant underlying factor in our findings and have placed it in first position on the list. Moreover, we have also cited the findings of two large population surveys that have shown that the topics of greatest interest to society are those of medicine and health, with scientific and technological discoveries and the environment and ecology generating far less interest (National Science Board, 2018; Fundación Española para la Ciencia y la Tecnología (FECYT), 2018).

Decision Letter 2

26 Mar 2021

PONE-D-20-23472R2

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ , click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at gro.solp@gnillibrohtua .

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Federico Neresini

Guest Editor

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Acceptance letter

30 Mar 2021

Dear Dr. Prados-Bo:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

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If needed, authors are recommended to consider the language editing services provided by OAE to ensure that the manuscript is written in correct scientific English before submission. An extra charge is required to enjoy this service. Please visit https://www.oaepublish.com/services or contact [email protected] for more details.

1.5 Work Funded by the National Institutes of Health

If an accepted manuscript was funded by National Institutes of Health (NIH), the author may inform Editors of the NIH funding number. The Editors are able to deposit the paper to the NIH Manuscript Submission System on behalf of the author.

1.6 Financial Disclosure and Conflict of Interest

Please provide financial disclosure and any conflict of interest on the title page of manuscript.

2. Submission Preparation

2.1 cover letter.

A brief cover letter is required to be submitted accompanying each manuscript. It should be concise and explain why the study is significant, why it fits the scope of the journal, and why it would be attractive to readers,  etc. Here is a guideline of a cover letter for authors' consideration: In the first paragraph: include the title and type (e.g., Original Article, Review,  etc. ) of the manuscript, a brief on the background of the study, the question the author sought out to answer and why; In the second paragraph: concisely explain the main conclusions of your study; In the third paragraph: confirm that the manuscript has not been published elsewhere and not under consideration of any other journal. All authors have approved the manuscript and agreed on its submission to the journal. Journal's specific requirements have been met if any. You may propose any expert reviewers to be considered by the Editors. If the manuscript is contributed to a Special Issue, please also mention it in the cover letter. If the manuscript was presented partly or entirely in a conference, the author should clearly state the background information of the event, including the conference name, time and place in the cover letter.

2.2 Types of Manuscripts

There is no general restriction on the number of figures, tables and references, provided that the manuscript is concise and comprehensive. The journal publishes Original Article, Review, Meta-Analysis, Commentary,  etc.  For more details about paper type, please refer to the following table.

Manuscript TypeDefinitionWord LimitAbstractKeywordsMain Text Structure
Original ArticleAn Original Article describes detailed results from novel research. All findings are extensively discussed. We also accept brief original articles not exceeding 2500 words incl. abstract and references (<10) and not exceeding a total of 3 figures/tables.5000 maxStructured abstract including Background or Objectives, Methods, Results and Conclusion. No more than 250 words.3-8 keywordsThe main content should include four sections: Introduction, Methods, Results and Discussion.
Mini Review /ReviewA Mini Review/Review article should provide readers with an in-depth understanding of a field by summarizing existing literature and highlighting key gaps and challenges to address future research.3500 max /no limitationUnstructured abstract. No more than 250 words.3-8 keywordsThe main text may consist of several sections with unfixed section titles. We suggest that the author include an "Introduction" section at the beginning, several sections with unfixed titles in the middle part, and a "Conclusion" section at the end.
Short ReportA Short report is suitable for the presentation of research that extends previously published research, including the reporting of additional controls and confirmatory results in other settings, as well as negative results. Authors must clearly acknowledge any work upon which they are building, both published and unpublished.2000 maxStructured abstract including Aim, Methods, Results and Conclusion. No more than 250 words.3-8 keywordsThe main content should include four sections: Introduction, Methods, Results and Discussion.
Meta-AnalysisA Meta-Analysis is a statistical analysis combining the results of multiple scientific studies. It is often an overview of clinical trials.3000 maxStructured abstract including Background or Objectives, Methods, Results and Conclusion. No more than 250 words.3-8 keywordsThe main content should include four sections: Introduction, Methods, Results and Discussion.
Systematic ReviewA Systematic Review collects and critically analyzes multiple research studies, using methods selected before one or more research questions are formulated, and then finding and analyzing related studies and answering those questions in a structured methodology.3500 maxStructured abstract including Background or Objectives, Methods, Results and Conclusion. No more than 250 words.3-8 keywordsThe main content should include four sections: Introduction, Methods, Results and Discussion.
Technical NoteA Technical Note is a short article giving a brief description of a specific development, technique or procedure, or it may describe a modification of an existing technique, procedure or device applied in research.2000 maxUnstructured abstract. No more than 250 words.3-8 keywords
CommentaryA Commentary is to provide comments on a newly published article or an alternative viewpoint on a certain topic. Usually, comments are commissioned, but may also be sent spontaneously.2500 maxUnstructured abstract. No more than 250 words.3-8 keywords
EditorialAn Editorial is a short article describing news about the journal or opinions of senior Editors or the publisher.1200 maxNone required.None required
Letter to EditorA Letter to Editor is usually an open post-publication review of a paper from its readers, often critical of some aspect of a published paper. Controversial papers often attract numerous Letters to Editor.1500 maxUnstructured abstract (optional). No more than 250 words.3-8 keywords (optional)
OpinionAn Opinion usually presents personal thoughts, beliefs, or feelings on a topic.1500 maxUnstructured abstract (optional). No more than 250 words.3-8 keywords
PerspectiveA Perspective provides personal points of view on the state-of-the-art of a specific area of knowledge and its future prospects. Links to areas of intense current research focus can also be made. The emphasis should be on a personal assessment rather than a comprehensive, critical review. However, comments should be put into the context of existing literature. Perspectives are usually invited by the Editors.2000 maxUnstructured abstract. No more than 150 words.3-8 keywords
Research HighlightResearch Highlights discuss the main advances made by the paper as well as putting the findings of the study into the proper context of the field.1,200 words max excluding references, figures, and tables. Table/Figure: Max of 1A brief stand first of only one or two sentences.3-6 Keywords

2.3 Manuscript Structure

Trials, observational studies, systematic reviews, meta-analyses and qualitative research should be described and reported according to standard guidelines, as presented by the Equator Initiative , such as CONSORT, STROBE or PRISMA guidelines.

2.3.1 Front Matter

2.3.1.1 title.

The title of the manuscript should be concise, specific and relevant, with no more than 16 words if possible. When gene or protein names are included, the abbreviated name rather than full name should be used.

2.3.1.2 Authors and Affiliations

Authors' full names should be listed. The initials of middle names can be provided. Institutional addresses and email addresses for all authors should be listed. At least one author should be designated as corresponding author. In addition, corresponding authors are suggested to provide their Open Researcher and Contributor ID upon submission. Please note that any change to authorship is not allowed after manuscript acceptance.

2.3.1.3 Abstract

Original research, systematic reviews, and meta-analyses require structured abstracts. The abstract should provide the context or background for the study and should state the study's purpose, basic procedures (selection of study participants, settings, measurements, analytical methods), main findings (giving specific effect sizes and their statistical and clinical significance, if possible), and principal conclusions. It should emphasize new and important aspects of the study or observations, note important limitations, and not overinterpret findings. Clinical trial abstracts should include items that the CONSORT group has identified as essential. It is not allowed to contain results which are not presented and substantiated in the manuscript, or exaggerate the main conclusions. Citations should not be included in the abstract.

2.3.1.4 Keywords

Three to eight MeSH keywords should be provided, which are specific to the article, yet reasonably common within the subject discipline.

2.3.2 Main Text

Manuscripts of different types are structured with different sections of content. Please refer to Types of Manuscripts to make sure which sections should be included in the manuscripts. Please use correctly the terms "sex" (biological factors) and "gender" (identity and socio-cultural factors).

2.3.2.1 Introduction

Provide a context or background for the study (that is, the nature of the problem and its significance). State the specific purpose or research objective of, or hypothesis tested by, the study or observation. Cite only directly pertinent references, and do not include data or conclusions from the work being reported.

2.3.2.2 Methods

The guiding principle of the Methods section should be clarity about how and why a study was done in a particular way. The Methods section should aim to be sufficiently detailed such that others with access to the data would be able to reproduce the results. In general, the section should include only information that was available at the time the plan or protocol for the study was being written; all information obtained during the study belongs in the Results section. If an organization was paid or otherwise contracted to help conduct the research (examples include data collection and management), then this should be detailed in the methods. The Methods section should include a statement indicating that the research was approved by an independent local, regional or national review body (e.g., ethics committee, institutional review board). If doubt exists whether the research was conducted in accordance with the Helsinki Declaration, the authors must explain the rationale for their approach and demonstrate that the local, regional or national review body explicitly approved the doubtful aspects of the study.

2.3.2.2.1 Selection and Description of Participants

Clearly describe the selection of observational or experimental participants (healthy individuals or patients, including controls), including eligibility and exclusion criteria and a description of the source population. Because the relevance of such variables as age, sex, or ethnicity is not always known at the time of study design, researchers should aim for inclusion of representative populations into all study types and at a minimum provide descriptive data for these and other relevant demographic variables. Comment on how representative the study sample is of the larger population of interest.

Ensure correct use of the terms sex (when reporting biological factors) and gender (identity, psychosocial or cultural factors), and, unless inappropriate, report the sex and/or gender of study participants, the sex of animals or cells, and describe the methods used to determine sex and gender. If the study was done involving an exclusive population, for example in only one sex, authors should justify why. Authors should define how they determined race or ethnicity and justify their relevance. In the case where race or ethnicity was not collected, explain why it was not collected. Race and ethnicity are social and not biological constructs; authors should interpret results associated with race and ethnicity in that context. Authors should use neutral, precise, and respectful language to describe study participants and avoid the use of terminology that might stigmatize participants.

2.3.2.2.2 Technical Information

Specify the study's main and secondary objectives–usually identified as primary and secondary outcomes. Identify methods, equipment (give the manufacturer's name and address in parentheses), and procedures in sufficient detail to allow others to reproduce the results. Give references to established methods, including statistical methods (see below); provide references and brief descriptions for methods that have been published but are not well-known; describe new or substantially modified methods, give the reasons for using them, and evaluate their limitations. Identify precisely all drugs and chemicals used, including generic name(s), dose(s), and route(s) of administration. Identify appropriate scientific names and gene names.

2.3.2.2.3 Statistics

Describe statistical methods with enough detail to enable a knowledgeable reader with access to the original data to judge its appropriateness for the study and to verify the reported results. When possible, quantify findings and present them with appropriate indicators of measurement error or uncertainty (such as confidence intervals). Avoid relying solely on statistical hypothesis testing, such as P values, which fail to convey important information about effect size and precision of estimates. References for the design of the study and statistical methods should be to standard works when possible (with pages stated). Define statistical terms, abbreviations, and most symbols. Specify the statistical software package(s) and versions used. Distinguish prespecified from exploratory analyses, including subgroup analyses.

2.3.2.3 Results

Present your results in logical sequence in the text, tables, and figures, giving the main or most important findings first. Do not repeat all the data in the tables or figures in the text; emphasize or summarize only the most important observations. Provide data on all primary and secondary outcomes identified in the Methods Section. Extra or supplementary materials and technical details can be placed in an appendix where they will be accessible but will not interrupt the flow of the text, or they can be published solely in the electronic version of the journal.

Give numeric results not only as derivatives (for example, percentages) but also as the absolute numbers from which the derivatives were calculated. Restrict tables and figures to those needed to explain the argument of the paper and to assess supporting data. Use graphs as an alternative to tables with many entries; do not duplicate data in graphs and tables. Avoid nontechnical uses of technical terms in statistics, such as “random” (which implies a randomizing device), “normal,” “significant,” “correlations,” and “sample.”

Separate reporting of data by demographic variables, such as age and sex, facilitate pooling of data for subgroups across studies and should be routine, unless there are compelling reasons not to stratify reporting, which should be explained.

2.3.2.4 Discussion

It is useful to begin the discussion by briefly summarizing the main findings, and explore possible mechanisms or explanations for these findings. Emphasize the new and important aspects of your study and put your findings in the context of the totality of the relevant evidence. State any limitations of your study, and explore the implications of your findings for future research and for clinical practice or policy. Discuss the influence or association of variables, such as sex and/or gender, on your findings, where appropriate, and the limitations of the data. Do not repeat in detail data or other information given in other parts of the manuscript, such as in the Introduction or the Results section. Link the conclusions with the goals of the study but avoid unqualified statements and conclusions not adequately supported by the data. In particular, distinguish between clinical and statistical significance, and avoid making statements on economic benefits and costs unless the manuscript includes the appropriate economic data and analyses. Avoid claiming priority or alluding to work that has not been completed. State new hypotheses when warranted, but label them clearly.

2.3.2.5 Conclusion

It should state clearly the main conclusions that can be drawn from your data, and include the explanation of their relevance or importance to the field. Do not repeat results.

2.3.3 Back Matter

2.3.3.1 acknowledgements.

Anyone who contributed towards the article but does not meet the criteria for authorship, including those who provided professional writing services or materials, should be acknowledged. Authors should obtain permission to acknowledge from all those mentioned in the Acknowledgments section. This section is not added if the author does not have anyone to acknowledge.

2.3.3.2 Authors' Contributions

Each author is expected to have made substantial contributions to the conception or design of the work, or the acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data, or the creation of new software used in the work, or have drafted the work or substantively revised it. Please use Surname and Initial of Forename to refer to an author's contribution. For example: made substantial contributions to conception and design of the study and performed data analysis and interpretation: Salas H, Castaneda WV; performed data acquisition, as well as provided administrative, technical, and material support: Castillo N, Young V. If an article is single-authored, please include "The author contributed solely to the article." in this section.

2.3.3.3 Availability of Data and Materials

In order to maintain the integrity, transparency and reproducibility of research records, authors should include this section in their manuscripts, detailing where the data supporting their findings can be found. Data can be deposited into data repositories or published as supplementary information in the journal. Authors who cannot share their data should state that the data will not be shared and explain it. If a manuscript does not involve such issue, please state "Not applicable." in this section.

2.3.3.4 Financial Support and Sponsorship

All sources of funding for the study reported should be declared. The role of the funding body in the experiment design, collection, analysis and interpretation of data, and writing of the manuscript should be declared. Any relevant grant numbers and the link of funder's website should be provided if any. If the study is not involved with this issue, state "None." in this section.

2.3.3.5 Conflicts of Interest

Authors must declare any potential conflicts of interest that may be perceived as inappropriately influencing the representation or interpretation of reported research results. If there are no conflicts of interest, please state "All authors declared that there are no conflicts of interest." in this section. Some authors may be bound by confidentiality agreements. In such cases, in place of itemized disclosures, we will require authors to state "All authors declare that they are bound by confidentiality agreements that prevent them from disclosing their conflicts of interest in this work.". If authors are unsure whether conflicts of interest exist, please refer to the "Conflicts of Interest" of OAE Editorial Policies for a full explanation.

2.3.3.6 Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate

Research involving human subjects, human material or human data must be performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and approved by an appropriate ethics committee. An informed consent to participate in the study should also be obtained from participants, or their parents or legal guardians for children under 16. A statement detailing the name of the ethics committee (including the reference number where appropriate) and the informed consent obtained must appear in the manuscripts reporting such research. Studies involving animals and cell lines must include a statement on ethical approval. More information is available at Editorial Policies . If the manuscript does not involve such issue, please state "Not applicable." in this section.

2.3.3.7 Consent for Publication

Manuscripts containing individual details, images or videos, must obtain consent for publication from that person, or in the case of children, their parents or legal guardians. If the person has died, consent for publication must be obtained from the next of kin of the participant. Manuscripts must include a statement that a written informed consent for publication was obtained. Authors do not have to submit such content accompanying the manuscript. However, these documents must be available if requested. If the manuscript does not involve this issue, state "Not applicable." in this section.

2.3.3.8 Copyright

Authors retain copyright of their works through a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License that clearly states how readers can copy, distribute, and use their attributed research, free of charge. A declaration "© The Author(s) 2024." will be added to each article. Authors are required to sign License to Publish before formal publication.

2.3.3.9 References

References should be numbered in order of appearance at the end of manuscripts. In the text, reference numbers should be placed in square brackets and the corresponding references are cited thereafter. If the number of authors is less than or equal to six, we require to list all authors' names. If the number of authors is more than six, only the first three authors' names are required to be listed in the references, other authors' names should be omitted and replaced with "et al.". Abbreviations of the journals should be provided on the basis of Index Medicus . Information from manuscripts accepted but not published should be cited in the text as "Unpublished material" with written permission from the source. References should be described as follows, depending on the types of works:

TypesExamples
Journal articles by individual authorsWeaver DL, Ashikaga T, Krag DN, et al. Effect of occult metastases on survival in node-negative breast cancer. . 2011;364:412-21. [PMID: 21247310 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1008108]
Organization as authorDiabetes Prevention Program Research Group. Hypertension, insulin, and proinsulin in participants with impaired glucose tolerance. 2002;40:679-86. [PMID: 12411462]
Both personal authors and organization as authorVallancien G, Emberton M, Harving N, van Moorselaar RJ; Alf-One Study Group. Sexual dysfunction in 1,274 European men suffering from lower urinary tract symptoms. . 2003;169:2257-61. [PMID: 12771764 DOI: 10.1097/01.ju.0000067940.76090.73]
Journal articles not in EnglishZhang X, Xiong H, Ji TY, Zhang YH, Wang Y. Case report of anti-N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor encephalitis in child. . 2012;27:1903-7. (in Chinese)
Journal articles ahead of printOdibo AO. Falling stillbirth and neonatal mortality rates in twin gestation: not a reason for complacency. . 2018; Epub ahead of print [PMID: 30461178 DOI: 10.1111/1471-0528.15541]
BooksSherlock S, Dooley J. Diseases of the liver and billiary system. 9th ed. Oxford: Blackwell Sci Pub; 1993. pp. 258-96.
Book chaptersMeltzer PS, Kallioniemi A, Trent JM. Chromosome alterations in human solid tumors. In: Vogelstein B, Kinzler KW, Editors. The genetic basis of human cancer. New York: McGraw-Hill; 2002. pp. 93-113.
Online resourceFDA News Release. FDA approval brings first gene therapy to the United States. Available from: . [Last accessed on 30 Oct 2017]
Conference proceedingsHarnden P, Joffe JK, Jones WG, Editors. Germ cell tumours V. Proceedings of the 5th Germ Cell Tumour Conference; 2001 Sep 13-15; Leeds, UK. New York: Springer; 2002.
Conference paperChristensen S, Oppacher F. An analysis of Koza's computational effort statistic for genetic programming. In: Foster JA, Lutton E, Miller J, Ryan C, Tettamanzi AG, Editors. Genetic programming. EuroGP 2002: Proceedings of the 5th European Conference on Genetic Programming; 2002 Apr 3-5; Kinsdale, Ireland. Berlin: Springer; 2002. pp. 182-91.
Unpublished materialTian D, Araki H, Stahl E, Bergelson J, Kreitman M. Signature of balancing selection in Arabidopsis. . Forthcoming 2002.
Thesis or dissertationCable ML. Life in extreme environments: lanthanide-based detection of bacterial spores and other sensor design pursuits. Ph.D. Dissertation, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, 2010. Available from [accessed 29 December 2023].
Thesis or dissertation in printEnander RT. Lead particulate and methylene chloride risks in automotive refinishing. Ph.D. Thesis, Tufts University, Medford, MA, 2001.
WebsiteWorld Health Organization Home Page. Available from [accessed 29 December 2023].
NewspaperBeauge J. School district sued over burns girl suffered during chemistry class demonstration. ( ), November 17, 2018, updated November 17, 2018. Available from [accessed 29 December 2023].
DatabaseSpectraBase. Bio-Rad Laboratories. Available from [accessed 29 December 2023].
PatentStern MK, Cheng BKM. Process for preparing N-(p-nitroaryl)amides via reaction of nitrobenzene with nitriles. US 5380946, 1995.
PreprintYamamoto TS, Inui R, Tada Y, Yokoyama S. Prospects of detection of subsolar mass primordial black hole and white dwarf binary mergers. 2004;arXiv:2401.00044. Available from [accessed 29 December 2023].

For other types of references, please refer to U.S. National Library of Medicine . The journal also recommends that authors prepare references with a bibliography software package, such as EndNote to avoid typing mistakes and duplicated references.

2.3.3.10 Supplementary Materials

Additional data and information can be uploaded as Supplementary Materials to accompany the manuscripts. The supplementary materials will also be available to the referees as part of the peer-review process. Any file format is acceptable, such as data sheet (word, excel, csv, cdx, fasta, pdf or zip files), presentation (powerpoint, pdf or zip files), image (cdx, eps, jpeg, pdf, png or tiff), table (word, excel, csv or pdf), audio (mp3, wav or wma) or video (avi, divx, flv, mov, mp4, mpeg, mpg or wmv). All information should be clearly presented. Supplementary materials should be cited in the main text in numeric order (e.g., Supplementary Figure 1, Supplementary Figure 2, Supplementary Table 1, Supplementary Table 2,  etc .). The style of supplementary figures or tables complies with the same requirements on figures or tables in main text. Videos and audios should be prepared in English, and limited to a size of 500 MB.

2.4 Manuscript Format

2.4.1 file format.

Manuscript files can be in DOC and DOCX formats and should not be locked or protected.

2.4.2 Length

The word limit is specified in the item "Types of Manuscripts". While there are no general restrictions on number of figures or amount of supporting documents, figures and tables should be kept to a minimum. Authors are encouraged to present and discuss their findings concisely without repeating data in detail in the text body which has been presented in figures and tables.

2.4.3 Language

Manuscripts must be written in English.

2.4.4 Multimedia Files

  • The journal supports manuscripts with multimedia files. The requirements are listed as follows:
  • Video or audio files are only acceptable in English. The presentation and introduction should be easy to understand. The frames should be clear, and the speech speed should be moderate.
  • A brief overview of the video or audio files should be given in the manuscript text.
  • The video or audio files should be limited to a size of up to 500 MB.
  • Please use professional software to produce high-quality video files, to facilitate acceptance and publication along with the submitted article. Upload the videos in mp4, wmv, or rm format (preferably mp4) and audio files in mp3 or wav format.

2.4.5 Figures

  • Figures should be cited in numeric order (e.g., Figure 1, Figure 2) and placed after the paragraph where it is first cited;
  • Figures can be submitted in format of tiff, psd, AI or jpeg, with resolution of 300-600 dpi;
  • Figure caption is placed under the Figure;
  • Diagrams with describing words (including, flow chart, coordinate diagram, bar chart, line chart, and scatter diagram, etc .) should be editable in word, excel or powerpoint format. Non-English information should be avoided;
  • Labels, numbers, letters, arrows, and symbols in figure should be clear, of uniform size, and contrast with the background;
  • Symbols, arrows, numbers, or letters used to identify parts of the illustrations must be identified and explained in the legend;
  • Internal scale (magnification) should be explained and the staining method in photomicrographs should be identified;
  • All non-standard abbreviations should be explained in the legend;
  • Permission for use of copyrighted materials from other sources, including re-published, adapted, modified, or partial figures and images from the internet, must be obtained. It is authors’ responsibility to acquire the licenses, to follow any citation instruction requested by third-party rights holders, and cover any supplementary charges.

2.4.6 Tables

  • Tables should be cited in numeric order and placed after the paragraph where it is first cited;
  • The table caption should be placed above the table and labeled sequentially (e.g., Table 1, Table 2);
  • Tables should be provided in editable form like DOC or DOCX format (picture is not allowed);
  • Abbreviations and symbols used in table should be explained in footnote;
  • Explanatory matter should also be placed in footnotes;
  • Permission for use of copyrighted materials from other sources, including re-published, adapted, modified, or partial tables from the internet, must be obtained. It is authors' responsibility to acquire the licenses, to follow any citation instruction requested by third-party rights holders, and cover any supplementary charges.

2.4.7 Abbreviations

Abbreviations should be defined upon first appearance in the abstract, main text, and in figure or table captions and used consistently thereafter. Non-standard abbreviations are not allowed unless they appear at least three times in the text. Commonly-used abbreviations, such as DNA, RNA, ATP, etc ., can be used directly without definition. Abbreviations in titles and keywords should be avoided, except for the ones which are widely used.

2.4.8 Italics

General italic words like  vs .,  et al .,  etc .,  in vivo ,  in vitro ;  t  test,  F  test,  U  test; related coefficient as  r , sample number as  n , and probability as  P ; names of genes; names of bacteria and biology species in Latin.

2.4.9 Units

SI Units should be used. Imperial, US customary and other units should be converted to SI units whenever possible. There is a space between the number and the unit (i.e., 23 mL). Hour, minute, second should be written as h, min, s.

2.4.10 Numbers

Numbers appearing at the beginning of sentences should be expressed in English. When there are two or more numbers in a paragraph, they should be expressed as Arabic numerals; when there is only one number in a paragraph, number < 10 should be expressed in English and number > 10 should be expressed as Arabic numerals. 12345678 should be written as 12,345,678.

2.4.11 Equations

Equations should be editable and not appear in a picture format. Authors are advised to use either the Microsoft Equation Editor or the MathType for display and inline equations.

2.5 Submission Link

Submit an article via https://oaemesas.com/login?JournalId=mrr .

3. Research and Publication Ethics

3.1 research involving human subjects.

All studies involving human subjects must be in accordance with the Helsinki Declaration and seek approval to conduct the study from an independent local, regional, or national review body (e.g., ethics committee, institutional review board, etc. ). Such approval, including the names of the ethics committee, institutional review board, etc. , must be listed in a declaration statement of Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate in the manuscript. If the study is judged exempt from ethics approval, related information (e.g., name of the ethics committee granting the exemption and the reason for the exemption) must be listed. Further documentation on ethics should also be prepared, as Editors may request more detailed information. Manuscripts with suspected ethical problems will be investigated according to COPE Guidelines .

3.1.1 Consent to Participate

For all studies involving human subjects, informed consent to participate in the studies must be obtained from participants, or their parents or legal guardians for children under 16. Whenever possible, consent should be written. Statements regarding consent to participate should be included in a declaration statement of Ethical Approval and Consent to Participate in the manuscript. If informed consent is not required, the name of the ethics committee granting the exemption and the reason for the exemption must be listed. If any ethical violation is found at any stage of publication, the issue will be investigated seriously based on COPE Guidelines .

3.1.2 Consent for Publication

All articles published by OAE are freely available on the Internet. All manuscripts that include individual participants' data in any form (i.e., details, images, videos,  etc. ) will not be published without Consent for Publication obtained from that person(s), or for children, their parents or legal guardians. If the person has died, Consent for Publication must be obtained from the next of kin. Authors must add a declaration statement of Consent for Publication in the manuscript, specifying written informed consent for publication has been obtained.

3.1.3 Ethical Approval and Informed Consent for Retrospective/Database Studies

Researchers must confirm they have obtained ethical approval from ethical review boards to perform the study, as well as permission from the dataset owner to use the information in databases for the purposes of the research they are performing. If permission to use information from a database is not required (e.g., it is publicly available and unrestricted re-use is permitted under an open license), a statement explaining this must be included in the manuscript. For studies which ethics approval has been waived, authors must state clearly in the manuscript and provide brief details of the waive policy. The statement should include details of the policies under which the waive was granted.

Authors must keep data anonymized. If participants’ details are not to be anonymized, authors must ensure that written informed consent, including consent for publication, was obtained from each participant, and consent statement must be included in the manuscript.

3.1.4 Ethical Approval and Informed Consent for Survey Studies

Researchers must ensure the participant’s right to confidentiality has been considered, and they must inform all participants about the aims of the research and if there are any possible risks, and how the collecting data is being stored. The voluntary consent to participate of participants should be recorded and any legal requirements on data protection should be adhered to. Same with all research studies, ethics approval from IRB/local ethics committee for survey studies must be obtained before performing study. If ethics approval for certain survey study is not required, authors must include a statement to explain this clearly in the manuscript.

3.1.5 Trial Registration

OAE requires all authors to register all relevant clinical trials that are reported in manuscripts submitted. OAE follows the World Health Organization (WHO) 's definition of clinical trials: "A clinical trial is any research study that prospectively assigns human participants or groups of humans to one or more health-related interventions to evaluate the effects on health outcomes. Interventions include but are not restricted to drugs, cells, other biological products, surgical procedures, radiologic procedures, devices, behavioral treatments, process-of-care changes, preventive care, etc .".

In line with International Committee of Medical Journal Editors (ICMJE) recommendation, OAE requires the registration of clinical trials in a public trial registry at or before the time of first patient enrollment. OAE accepts publicly accessible registration in any registry that is a primary register of the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform or in ClinicalTrials.gov . The trial registration number should be listed at the end of the Abstract section.

Secondary data analyses of primary (parent) clinical trials should not be registered as a new clinical trial, but rather reference the trial registration number of the primary trial.

Editors of OAE journals will consider carefully whether studies failed to register or had an incomplete trial registration. Because of the importance of prospective trial registration, if there is an exception to this policy, trials must be registered and the authors should indicate in the publication when registration was completed and why it was delayed. Editors will publish a statement indicating why an exception was allowed. Please note such exceptions should be rare, and authors failing to prospectively register a trial risk its inadmissibility to OAE journals.

3.2 Research Involving Animals

Experimental research on animals should be approved by an appropriate ethics committee and must comply with institutional, national, or international guidelines. OAE encourages authors to comply with the AALAS Guidelines , the ARRIVE Guidelines , and/or the ICLAS Guidelines , and obtain prior approval from the relevant ethics committee. Manuscripts must include a statement indicating that the study has been approved by the relevant ethical committee and the whole research process complies with ethical guidelines. If a study is granted an exemption from requiring ethics approval, the name of the ethics committee granting the exemption and the reason(s) for the exemption should be detailed. Editors will take account of animal welfare issues and reserve the right to reject a manuscript, especially if the research involves protocols that are inconsistent with commonly accepted norms of animal research.

3.3 Research Involving Cell Lines

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Circadian disruption, gut microbiome changes linked to colorectal cancer progression

Findings by UC Irvine researchers may lead to new prevention, treatment strategies

impact factor microbiome research reports

Irvine, Calif., Sept. 27, 2024 — Research from the University of California, Irvine has revealed how disruption of the circadian clock, the body’s internal, 24-hour biological pacemaker, may accelerate the progression of colorectal cancer by affecting the gut microbiome and intestinal barrier function. This discovery offers new avenues for prevention and treatment strategies.

The study, published online today in the journal Science Advances , offers a more comprehensive understanding of how important changes occur in the function and composition of the gut microbiome when the circadian clock is disturbed in the presence of colorectal cancer.

“There is an alarming rise in early-onset colorectal cancer in adults under the age of 50,” said corresponding author Selma Masri, associate professor of biological chemistry. “Circadian misalignment through extended light exposure, late-night meals and other environmental factors could [be] driving these cases. Our study suggests that clock disruption, particularly through lifestyle choices, may play a significant role in gut health and, subsequently, cancer risk.”

Previous research has shown that disturbances to the circadian clock can influence the progression of colorectal cancer, but until now, how the biological clock and cancer impact the gut microbiome was unclear. Using colorectal cancer mouse models, the team found that when the circadian clock is disrupted, the diversity and abundance of gut bacteria change, and this is further exacerbated by cancer development.

Researchers also identified notable alterations in the microbial pathways involved in the metabolism of nucleic acids, amino acids and carbohydrates. These functional changes were linked to reduced levels of intestinal mucus, which normally protects the gut lining from harmful bacteria, suggesting that the circadian clock is crucial for maintaining barrier integrity. Increased permeability of the intestinal lining allows toxins and bacteria to enter the bloodstream, potentially accelerating cancer progression.

“While these findings are important, more work needs to be done,” Masri said. “In particular, we now want to know if changes in the timing and abundance of certain gut bacteria could directly lead to colorectal cancer development over time. Long-term studies will be critical in determining whether circadian misalignment drives cancer and how we might prevent it in the future. Deeper insights into how the body’s internal clock shapes the gut’s ecosystem could pave the way for treatments that not only address cancer but also improve overall gut health.”

The study was led by Rachel Fellows, a postdoctoral fellow in biological chemistry. Other team members included Assistant Professors Marcus M. Seldin and Nicholas R. Pannunzio; postdoctoral fellow Sung Kook Chun; graduate students Alisa L. Mahieu, Bridget Fortin and Wei A. Song; and associate specialist Natalie Larson – all from the School of Medicine’s Department of Biological Chemistry.

This work was supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health, the Concern Foundation and Johnson & Johnson, among others. See the study for a full list.

About UC Irvine’s Brilliant Future campaign: Publicly launched on Oct. 4, 2019, the Brilliant Future campaign aims to raise awareness and support for UC Irvine. By engaging 75,000 alumni and garnering $2 billion in philanthropic investment, UC Irvine seeks to reach new heights of excellence in student success, health and wellness, research and more. The School of Medicine plays a vital role in the success of the campaign. Learn more by visiting https://brilliantfuture.uci.edu/uci-school-of-medicine .

About the University of California, Irvine:  Founded in 1965, UC Irvine is a member of the prestigious Association of American Universities and is ranked among the nation’s top 10 public universities by  U.S. News & World Report . The campus has produced five Nobel laureates and is known for its academic achievement, premier research, innovation and anteater mascot. Led by Chancellor Howard Gillman, UC Irvine has more than 36,000 students and offers 224 degree programs. It’s located in one of the world’s safest and most economically vibrant communities and is Orange County’s second-largest employer, contributing $7 billion annually to the local economy and $8 billion statewide. For more on UC Irvine, visit  www.uci.edu .

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  • Published: 27 September 2024

Analyzing the configuration of the National Innovation System for Innovation Capability: evidence from Global Innovation Index reports

  • Yangjie Huang   ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0001-6459-220X 1 , 2 ,
  • Sihui Li 1 , 3 ,
  • Xiyuan Xiang 1 &
  • Leilei Huang 2  

Humanities and Social Sciences Communications volume  11 , Article number:  1266 ( 2024 ) Cite this article

Metrics details

  • Social policy

National innovation capability (NIC) is an important manifestation of economic development quality and international competitiveness. Previous studies focus mainly on the static impact of factors in the national innovation system on NIC in a given year. Research is still lacking on whether these factors have continuing, stable impacts on NIC in different economies. To fill this literature gap, this study uses fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) to conduct cross-economy and cross-year comparisons and discusses how the five elements of the NIS jointly affected the NIC of different economies from 2011 to 2022. The results indicate that the necessity consistency of infrastructure for NIC shows a temporal trend. There are four paths to generating high NIC in high-income economies, but only two such paths for upper middle-income economies. The path combining human capital and research, market sophistication, and business sophistication can drive both types of economies to generate high NIC. The research results have improved the transparency of innovation paths and provided a reference for different economies to achieve sustainable development.

Introduction

Innovation is the reorganization of existing ideas or the application of new ideas to new processes and products, which has received widespread attention from researchers (Matos et al., 2022 ). Successful economic development is closely related to a country’s ability to acquire, absorb, disseminate, and apply modern technology, as reflected in its national innovation system (NIS) (Metcalfe and Ramlogan, 2008 ; Kim and Lee, 2022 ). In the NIS conceptual framework (Freeman, 1987 ), government and institutional structures promote the generation and diffusion of innovation in coordinating the national economy (Watkins et al., 2015 ; Ulmanen and Bergek, 2021 ). The NIS encompasses all economic, political, and social factors affecting national innovation. The NIS can enhance environmental sustainability and play a decisive role in globally coordinated efforts to create a sustainable future (Fernandes et al., 2022 ). Countries that have successfully integrated these innovative factors perform well and achieve greater economic prosperity (Kwon and Motohashi, 2017 ; Khan, 2022 ). Within the NIS is a group of institutions jointly and individually dedicated to developing and disseminating new technologies (Metcalfe, 1995 ). In other words, the NIS depends on not only the roles of individual institutions but also how internal system factors interact (Calia et al., 2007 ). Therefore, in the innovation process, the connection between internal elements of the NIS is key to improving a country’s innovation capability.

Scholars have extensively researched national innovation capability (NIC) from the perspective of the NIS and analyzed the conditional configurations that lead to high NIC (Khedhaouria and Thurik, 2017 ). However, there has been no in-depth discussion of which specific configurations can stably generate high NIC. First, NIC research has not been integrated (Fagerberg and Srholec, 2008 ). Some studies cover only the conditions considered to affect innovation (Khayyat and Lee, 2015 ), and may thus overlook other potential influencing factors and the interactions between them. However, the NIS is systematic and evolutionary (Lundvall et al., 2002 ), and scattered literature is not conducive to researchers and managers fully understanding national-level innovation activities. Second, research on the configuration of conditions for NIC has used cross-sectional data, analyzing the innovation paths of different countries in a given year (Crespo and Crespo, 2016 ; Huarng and Yu, 2022 ). Although these studies adopted a systematic perspective, cross-sectional data cannot fully explain the temporal differences in NIC and the continuity of configurations. In other words, whether the innovation paths of different economies have evolved over time remains to be determined. Accordingly, this study tackles the following research questions:

RQ1: Do the five elements of the NIS individually affect a country’s NIC? How does the combination of factors affect the NIC of high- and upper middle-income economies? Specifically, which paths generate high NIC?

RQ2: Do these paths have time- or cross-sectional effects? Are they stable?

RQ3: Are there configurations that can simultaneously drive both economies to generate high NIC?

Cross-border comparisons based on the NIS, especially analyzing non-highly industrialized countries, are a trend in NIS research (Balzat and Hanusch, 2004 ). This study analyzes the individual and combined influence of NIS elements on NIC in high- and upper-middle-income economies and explores whether the configuration of high NIC has temporal and spatial effects. High-income economies are the focus of most theoretical and empirical analyses of the NIS (Edquist, 2001 ; Khan, 2022 ), and analyzing the innovative development path of high-income economies can help other economies learn from their successful practices. Upper middle-income economies include many emerging economies that have shown great potential and growth momentum in innovation activities (WIPO, 2022 ). In addition, NIS theoretical research has gradually expanded its focus to include “imitation” and “learning” activities in middle-income economies (Casadella and Uzunidis, 2017 ; Hu et al., 2017 ). Studying the current status of NIC in upper middle-income economies is conducive to promoting global innovation development. High-income and upper middle-income economies play important roles in global innovation. Therefore, analyzing and comparing their innovation paths can support international cooperation and knowledge exchange, promote innovation path sharing, and advance global innovation progress.

This study explores how five elements of the NIS (institutions, human capital and research, infrastructure, market sophistication, and business sophistication) affect the NIC of high- and upper middle-income economies and the stability of their influence over time. This study has significant theoretical contributions. Firstly, this study improves the transparency and replicability of innovation paths in different economies by analyzing the time effects of NIS factors on the necessity and combination effects of NIC and broadens the research perspective of NIS-related theories. Furthermore, this study incorporates temporality into the fsQCA method, revealing the stable allocation of NIS elements, characterizing the evolution trend of the global innovation landscape, and providing robust data support for various economies to adjust innovation strategies. The findings suggest that high- and upper middle-income economies should prioritize the role of infrastructure in NIC. Additionally, a configuration perspective should be applied to integrate NIS elements and thereby enhance NIC, focusing especially on the interaction between human capital and research (HCR), market sophistication (MS), and business sophistication (BS). Overall, the research findings provide key insights for decision-makers in countries with different economic levels to adjust innovation policies and integrate innovation resources, especially those committed to improving NIC and global competitiveness.

The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. The next section reviews literature on the NIS, its constituent elements, and NIC. Next, we detail the research methodology, then report the results of using fsQCA with panel data from the Global Innovation Index (GII) Report, 2011–2022, to explore what combinations of NIS elements produce high NIC. Finally, we explore the study’s theoretical and practical significance, analyze its limitations, and propose future research directions.

Literature review

Innovation can drive economic growth, technological progress, and global competitiveness. We take the NIS as our theoretical framework and believe that its internal institutions influence the growth of NIC. First, we review research on the NIS and NIC. Second, we consider the five innovative elements outlined by the GII Report as the framework for evaluating the institutional structure of the NIS.

National Innovation System (NIS)

The NIS was developed by Freeman as a conceptual framework positing that innovation activities are not just the work of enterprises or individuals (Freeman, 1987 ). Governments and institutional structures play crucial roles in coordinating innovation activities within a national economy (Watkins et al., 2015 ; Crespo and Crespo, 2016 ). Important research findings on the NIS are as follows. First, within the NIS, a country’s key organizational structures and systems interact, with the core activities being the co-creation, storage, and transmission of new knowledge and technology (Alcorta and Peres, 1998 ; Erzurumlu et al., 2022 ), thereby upgrading NIC (Numminen, 1996 ; Jankowska et al., 2017 ). Second, the growth of knowledge and technology in the NIS comes mainly from intangible national investments in education, infrastructure, technology research and development, business connections, and other domains (Crespo and Crespo, 2016 ). Third, government policies are responsible for coordinating the cooperation of various institutional structures in the NIS (Prokop et al., 2021 ). Fourth, economic globalization has gradually blurred the boundaries of innovation activities, increasing the mobility of knowledge in various fields and regions, and thus providing opportunities for developing countries to catch up. Therefore, developing countries should observe and learn from the NIS institutional structure of high NIC countries (Rakas and Hain, 2019 ; Lee et al., 2021 ; Khan, 2022 ). The NIS has become a popular theoretical framework for describing how interactions between economic participants generate technological innovation and economic growth (Fernandes et al., 2022 ). This study investigates how the interaction between NIS internal factors impacts NIC in high-income and upper middle-income economies.

National Innovation Capability (NIC)

Based on the above conceptual framework, this study regards NIC as the ability of various actors and institutions within a country to interact, engage in innovative activities, produce innovative technologies, and promote national economic development. Existing research uses the NIS as a theoretical framework for discussing the NIC of different economies (Acs et al., 2017 ; Kashani and Roshani, 2019 ). Scholars have not yet reached a consensus on the framework of NIS elements, as different economies have specific economic foundations and innovative institutional structures. The biggest challenge in enhancing NIC is determining how the government can reasonably allocate the internal institutional structure of the NIS (Freeman, 1987 ; Crespo and Crespo, 2016 ). Meanwhile, since innovation is a dynamic evolutionary process, analysis of a country’s allocation methods of NIS elements needs to consider time effects (Erzurumlu et al., 2022 ). Therefore, this study incorporates time effects into the analysis and explores the configurations of NIS factors in economies of different income levels from 2011 to 2022, as well as the ways in which these factors affect NIC.

NIS elements

The GII Report provides an important reference for evaluating the NIS institutional framework and measuring NIC. The index was jointly developed in 2007 by INSEAD Business School, Cornell University, and the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO). It comprises five innovation input indicators—institutions, human capital and research, infrastructure, market sophistication, and business sophistication—and ranks countries based on the average of each indicator of innovation input and output (WIPO, 2022 ). The GII has been used to study the NIS and NIC and is believed to provide an effective NIS framework that can measure a country’s NIC (Crespo and Crespo, 2016 ; Maruccia et al., 2020 ). Therefore, this study suggests that an NIS comprises the same five elements as the GII and that their combined effects impact NIC.

Institutions (INS) have always been considered a determining factor for a country’s NIC (Nelson, 1988 ). Within an economy, the responsibilities and relationships of actors are governed and regulated by laws, policies, and other institutional factors. The political, regulatory, and business environment set the conditions for innovation in different economies (Watkins et al., 2015 ), which vary in their ability to accommodate the high degree of uncertainty associated with innovation activities (Nelson, 2008 ). Countries with strong institutional support for innovation provide comprehensive policy services and a stable political environment for enterprise operations, featuring intellectual property protection, tax exemptions, and other policies to reduce operational risks and encourage innovative activities by enterprises and research institutions (Erzurumlu et al., 2022 ). The regulatory environment reflects government efforts to reduce conflicts between private sector development and economic actors and to cultivate more stable cooperative relationships (Furman et al., 2002 ; Yu et al., 2020 ). Meanwhile, the business environment reflects the government’s efforts to reduce uncertainty for corporations, for instance, by helping new entrepreneurs to start enterprises, resolving bankruptcy and tax issues, and encouraging the competitiveness necessary for innovation (Schot and Steinmueller, 2018 ).

Human capital and research (HCR) are valued as key elements of NIC (Castellacci and Natera, 2013 ). Having a well-established education system can create the human capital required to build innovation capabilities (Khedhaouria and Thurik, 2017 ). Higher education promotes innovation by directly supplying human capital and generating useful knowledge to support innovation (Saad et al., 2015 ). In addition, the research and development (R&D) activities of human capital are key to promoting innovation. Supporting internal R&D activities and improving the quality of scientific and research institutions are conducive to the assimilation, absorption, and creation of knowledge products (Chen et al., 2020 ).

Infrastructure (INF) refers to the goods and services provided by a country for the transfer and dissemination of technological knowledge that can enhance the country’s ability to absorb, adopt, and implement advanced foreign technologies (Castellacci and Natera, 2013 ). Infrastructure improvements can enhance innovation abilities and speed. The most common infrastructure in the NIS is information and communication technology (ICT), which enhances NIC by widely disseminating new ideas and investing in new applications (Lee et al., 2016 ). In addition, other infrastructures such as public utility networks (Bronzini and Piselli, 2009 ), power infrastructure and transportation systems (Lopez-Claros and Mata, 2010 ), and ecological sustainability infrastructure (Rakas and Hain, 2019 ) can also reduce economic costs and strengthen NIC. Communication and transportation logistics infrastructures can also promote innovation through promoting and disseminating innovative achievements (Fakhimi and Miremadi, 2022 ).

Market sophistication (MS) reflects the quality of the market, including finance, investment, trade, market size, and competition, and is an essential element of innovation (Filippetti and Archibugi, 2011 ). The financial system provides trade, competition, and sufficient domestic market size for enterprise prosperity and innovation (Helveston et al., 2019 ). Fierce competition encourages enterprises to continuously improve the quality of products and services to achieve continuous innovation and increase their market share and competitiveness (Wen et al., 2022 ).

Finally, business sophistication (BS) reflects the level of business conditions related to knowledge workers, the quality of business clusters and networks, and the absorptive capability of enterprises (Furman et al., 2002 ). Innovative talents with high-level skills are essential for enterprises to achieve innovation and improve their competitive advantage (Marvel et al., 2020 ). Employees with higher levels of education, experience, and skills are more eager to create new knowledge through communication and cooperation (Al-Omoush et al., 2022 ). Establishing innovative connections with joint ventures and strategic alliances can promote knowledge dissemination and accelerate innovation (Erzurumlu et al., 2013 ). In addition, the liberalization of international markets is conducive to the absorption and flow of knowledge (Khedhaouria and Thurik, 2017 ), and domestic innovation can be achieved by opening the NIS to international markets to attract foreign investment or by importing high-tech to absorb knowledge (Castellacci and Natera, 2013 ). Based on the above discussion, this study proposes the following:

Proposition 1 : The existence of institutions (INS) leads to high NIC .

Proposition 2 : The existence of human capital and research (HCR) leads to high NIC .

Proposition 3 : The existence of infrastructure (INF) leads to high NIC .

Proposition 4 : The presence of market sophistication (MS) leads to high NIC .

Proposition 5 : The presence of business sophistication (BS) leads to high NIC .

The theoretical framework of this study is shown in Fig. 1 .

figure 1

Theoretical framework.

Research methodology

Method selection.

This study used fsQCA to analyze the configurations of NIS elements generating high NIC, according to GII Reports. QCA utilizes Boolean logic and algebra to analyze cases by exploring the common influence of multiple antecedent interactions on specific phenomena (Ragin, 2008 ). Unknown facts can be understood using information that is known to people (Thomann and Maggetti, 2020 ). FsQCA is suitable for this study for three reasons. First, fsQCA aims to explain the multiple pathways that lead to specific outcomes (Beynon et al., 2019 ) and analyze the impact of different combinations of antecedent conditions on those outcomes (Ferrer et al., 2023 ). It can thus delve deeply into the mechanisms of action between NIS elements and NIC, providing a clearer explanation for high NIC. Second, fsQCA is gradually being applied to research in the field of innovation (Dabić et al., 2021 ), particularly with GII Reports as the data source (Crespo and Crespo, 2016 ; Huarng and Yu, 2022 ). Third, existing studies have shown that fsQCA is suitable for small to medium-sized samples (López-Cabarcos et al., 2022 ), such as the one used in this study.

Prior studies have mostly used fsQCA to analyze only cross-sectional data, thus neglecting temporal dynamic effects (Huang et al., 2022 ). This prevents researchers from determining whether the configuration results are stable. With advances in research methods, fsQCA is gradually being used to process panel data (Guedes et al., 2016 ; Beynon et al., 2020 ; Piñeiro-Chousa et al., 2023 ). By incorporating time effects into fsQCA, this method can effectively evaluate the set theory relationship of panel data by comparing consistency and coverage across time and cases (Garcia-Castro and Ariño, 2016 ). This can compensate for the limitations of analysis based solely on cross-sectional data and thus provide new insights. This study follows the steps of Beynon et al. ( 2020 ): calibration, fsQCA analysis, and panel data analysis.

Data collection

This study uses GII to measure the NIC of various economies worldwide. Data were sourced from the GII Reports from 2011 to 2022. The sample comprises 44 high-income and 31 upper middle-income economies. The World Bank categorizes economies into different groups based on their per capita national income, including low-income, middle-income, and high-income economies. Due to the wide range of middle-income, it is further divided into two categories: lower middle and upper middle. For example, according to the classification criteria of the World Bank for 2020, a per capita national income of $4096–12,695 is classified as upper middle-income countries, and a per capita national income of US$12,695 or more is classified as high-income economies (the World Bank, 2024 ). However, this standard is not fixed and will be adjusted according to the global economic situation. This study groups economies based on the development trends of their per capita national income. Therefore, each economy always belongs to the high-income or upper middle-income economic group. The economies covered by high-income and upper middle-income economic groups are listed in the appendix. Table 1 shows the detailed sources of the data.

Calibration and measurement

In fsQCA, calibration is the process of assigning collective members to cases in which the calibrated collective members are between 0 and 1 (Ragin, 2008 ). As suggested by Ragin ( 2008 ), this study used the three thresholds of 0.95, 0.5, and 0.05 for direct calibration to determine the membership level of each case in the fuzzy set. Table 2 reports the anchor point calibration.

Necessity analysis

This study used fsQCA software to detect the necessary conditions, which are conducive to, but do not guarantee, the occurrence of results. Following existing literature (Amara et al., 2020 ; Beynon et al., 2020 ), the consistency threshold for necessity analysis was set to 0.9. The necessity analysis results are shown in Figs. 2 and 3 . None of the antecedent conditions constituted a necessary condition for generating high NIC. Therefore, it is necessary to further analyze the combinations of the five conditional variables to identify paths producing high NIC.

figure 2

Necessity test results for high-income economies.

figure 3

Necessity test results for upper middle-income economies.

Sufficiency analysis

Research often uses consistency thresholds within the range of 0.75–0.85 established by Ragin ( 2006 ), or natural discontinuity values that truncate consistency scores (Crilly et al., 2012 ). In addition, to ensure the minimum number of cases used to evaluate relationships, a frequency threshold must be set. Referring to the recommendations of Fiss ( 2011 ), this study set the consistency threshold to 0.8, the proportional reduction in inconsistency (PRI) to 0.75, and the case frequency threshold to 2 to obtain a truth table. The core solution is generally used to determine the number of configurations and variables, whereas the reduced solution is used to determine core conditions. According to Fiss ( 2011 ), a condition that appears in the reduced solution is a core condition, indicating a strong causal relationship with the outcome variable, while a condition that appears in the core solution but not in the reduced solution is a peripheral condition, only weakly related to the outcome variable. As reported in Table 3 , the configuration results indicate that from 2011 to 2022, four configurations can be considered sufficient conditions for generating high NIC in high-income economies, while there were two such configurations for upper middle-income economies.

Considering first the four configurations that can generate high NIC for high-income economies, configuration H1 included INS, HCR, and MS as the core conditions, and the presence or absence of INF and BS did not affect the results. The consistency score was 96.4%. In configuration H2, the core conditions were INS, MS, and BS, and the presence or absence of HCR and INF did not affect the results. The consistency score was 97.3%. The core conditions in configuration H3 were HCR, MS, and BS, and the presence or absence of INS and INF did not affect the results. The consistency score was 97.9%. Finally, configuration H4 included INS, HCR, INF, and BS as the core conditions, and the presence or absence of MS did not affect the results. The consistency score was 97.7%.

Turning next to the two configurations that can generate high NIC for upper middle-income economies, configuration H5 included INS, INF, and BS as the core conditions, and the presence or absence of HCR and MS did not affect the results. The consistency score was 95.3%. In configuration H6, the core conditions were HCR, MS, and BS, and the presence or absence of INS and INF did not affect the results. The consistency score was 96.1%.

In addition, the sufficiency analysis results indicated that configurations of H3 and H6 are the same, meaning that the combination of HCR, MS, and BS is beneficial for generating high NIC in both high- and upper middle-income economies. Additionally, H3 and H6 had the highest coverage in high-income group and upper middle-income group, indicating that the explanatory power and representativeness of the configuration are relatively good.

Panel data breakdown of FsQCA results

Since the development of NIC is dynamic and continuous, cross-sectional data are not sufficient to explain how the NIS elements affect NIC over time. Therefore, this study adopts the methods and techniques of Beynon et al. ( 2020 ) to explore the development of elements and configurations over time, aiming to improve understanding of the interaction between NIS elements and NIC. Results are reported for the time effect of necessary conditions and the time and cross-sectional effects of configurations for high NIC.

Time effect for necessary conditions: INF shows an upward trend

As shown in Figs. 2 and 3 , no NIS element constitutes a necessary condition for high NIC. Notably, however, the between consistency (BECONS) adjusted distance of INF for high NIC was greater than the threshold of 0.2. This indicates a significant time effect of INF on high NIC in both high- and upper middle-income economies. The necessity consistency of INF for high NIC increased annually (see Figs. 4 and 5 ).

figure 4

Necessity consistency of NIS elements for high-income economies.

figure 5

Necessity consistency of NIS elements for upper middle-income economies.

Time and cross-sectional effects for high NIC configurations

Configuration analysis is the focus of fsQCA. Table 4 shows the pooled consistency (POCONS), between consistency distance (BECONS distance), within consistency distance (WICONS distance), and adjusted distance for all the panel data. The pooled consistency (POCONS) of all configurations that generate a high NIC is >0.8, indicating that POCONS has good explanatory power (Guedes et al., 2016 ). These six configurations can be considered sufficient conditions for high NIC generation.

BECONS measures the consistency of cross-section t in panel data every year (Beynon et al., 2020 ). The BECONS values for each configuration from 2011 to 2022 are shown in Figs. 6 and 7 , demonstrating their evolution trends over time. The consistency of H1 declined slightly in 2018, then showed an upward trend in 2020. H2 and H3 exhibited significantly higher consistency (from 2011 to 2022). Similar to H1, H4 showed a slight downward trend in 2018. H5 showed significantly high consistency from 2011 to 2018, followed by a downward trend after 2019. In contrast, the consistency of H6 was relatively stable. The BECONS adjusted distance tests the time effect in each case. The results show that the BECONS adjusted distance for all six configurations was <0.2, indicating that there was no significant time effect (Garcia-Castro and Ariño, 2016 ).

figure 6

BECONS values for configurations in high-income economies.

figure 7

BECONS values for configurations in upper middle-income economies.

WICONS measures the vertical consistency of set–subset connections of cases in a panel (Garcia-Castro and Ariño, 2016 ) and was measured at the national level. Figures 8 and 9 show the evolution trends in WICONS values from 2011 to 2022. The results reveal strong consistency in respective configurations H1–H4 in ~30 countries, together with strong consistency in configurations H5 and H6 for ~20 countries. The figures also present the WICONS values for each configuration in other countries. In addition, the WICONS adjusted distance tests the heterogeneity of cases. The results show that the WICONS adjusted distances of H1–H6 were <0.2. This indicates that there was no significant cross-sectional effect in H1–H6 (Garcia-Castro and Ariño, 2016 ).

figure 8

WICONS values for configurations in high-income economies.

figure 9

WICONS values for configurations in upper middle-income economies.

As previously mentioned, H3 and H6 have the same configuration. This configuration did not exhibit significant time effects (BECONS adjusted distance <0.2) or cross-sectional effects (WICONS adjusted distance <0.2) in the high- and upper middle-income economies. There is no significant difference in the explanatory power of this configuration between the two economy types.

The fsQCA results reveal four paths to high NIC in high-income economies (H1–H4) and two paths to high NIC in upper middle-income economies (H5 and H6). These six paths indicate how the five elements of NIS interact to produce high NIC, and reveal that diverse combinations of antecedent conditions can produce the same result (Fagerberg and Srholec, 2008 ). This study thus supports the view that innovation is complex (Crespo and Crespo, 2016 ). To achieve high NIC, different income economies should strive to develop multiple elements of the NIS (Khedhaouria and Thurik, 2017 ; Huarng and Yu, 2022 ). This study also supports the view that no single element of the NIS can be a necessary condition for high NIC.

The panel data results show a time effect in the necessity of INF for NIC, both for high- and upper middle-income economies. Previous studies have shown the importance of INF for NIC (Lee et al., 2016 ) but have not pointed out its time effect. This study thus enriches understanding by suggesting that the impact of INF on NIC gradually increases over time. In other words, INF provides the necessary technological structure for knowledge transfer and diffusion, which is increasingly important for improving the NIC. INF includes Information and communication technologies (ICTs), General infrastructure and Ecological sustainability (WIPO, 2022 ). Among them, analyzing the performance of ICT can help us understand the importance of INF for NIC. Especially with the spread of the digital revolution into multiple fields, the impact on NIC of ICT—an important INF component—will increase further (Lee et al., 2022 ). China could be a representative example of the INF role within the NIC framework. The development of ICT has changed the composite pattern of innovation elements and strengthened NIC (Liu and Lee, 2021 ). A panel data analysis showed that ICT penetration affects economic growth by promoting knowledge dissemination and innovation (Vu, 2011 ). On the one hand, the extensive network structure of INF generates an economic foundation for innovation by promoting transactions, reducing costs, and increasing market access (Dutta et al. 2010 ). As enterprises transform and upgrade, ICT helps them collaborate with other participants and promote open innovation practices (Zhou et al., 2019 ). The role of ICT in upper middle-income economies includes not only supporting the innovation activities of enterprises but also stimulating entrepreneurial activities. With the rise of the internet in China, an increasing number of people are doing business online, and the number of small and medium-sized enterprises relying on online trading platforms is gradually rising. The trend of entrepreneurs adopting ICT used by their peers will expand due to “social influence” (Afawubo and Noglo, 2022 ). ICT provides hardware support for green technology innovation, and the improvement of green innovation in enterprises and cities has driven the upgrading of existing network infrastructure (Tang et al., 2021 ). In summary, INF promotes innovation, and improved innovation drives infrastructure upgrading. The role of INF in innovation gradually increases over time.

Combining the results of the fsQCA and panel data analysis reveals one path to generating high NIC in both high- and upper middle-income economies (see Fig. 10 ). Configurations H3 and H6 are the same, and there were no significant time or cross-sectional effects between 2011 and 2022. This means that the combination of HCR, MS, and BS has a long-lasting and stable association with high NIC in both types of economies. HCR includes performance in the aspects of Education, Tertiary education, Research and development (R&D). MS includes performance in the aspects of Credit, Investment, Trade, diversification, and market scale. BS includes performance in the aspects of Knowledge workers/Innovation linkages/Knowledge absorption. Due to limitations in research methods, we are unable to present the sequential effects of HS, MS, and HCR on high NIC. Notably, the panel data results show that H3 covers the Switzerland case from 2011 to 2022, while H6 covers the Chinese case over the same period, indicating that HCR*MS*BS has strong explanatory power for Switzerland and China. Analyzing the situation in Switzerland and China helps to understand how HCR*MS*BS drives NIC. According to the 2022 GII Report (WIPO, 2022 ), Switzerland and China rank first among high- and upper middle-income economies, respectively. Switzerland has ranked first for 12 consecutive years, while China is the only developing country with a top 30 GII ranking. As a representative case of HCR*MS*BS in a high-income economy, Switzerland has shown excellent and stable NIC (WIPO, 2022 ). In the 2022 GII report, Switzerland ranked 4th globally in HCR, 8th in MS, and 7th in BS. In terms of HCR, Research and Development (R&D) has performed exceptionally well in Switzerland. It has a strong education system and is continent-leading in the workforce size and R&D expenditures of knowledge-intensive enterprises—a persistent advantage of the Swiss NIS (Marxt and Brunner, 2013 ). In terms of MS, credit and investment performed excellently. Switzerland is also closely connected to global markets, and its comprehensive tax system encourages regions to actively promote innovation (Erzurumlu et al., 2022 ). In terms of BS, the performance of Innovation linkages is very high, mainly manifested in University–industry R&D collaboration, Patent families, and State of cluster development and depth (WIPO, 2022 ). Similar to the situation in Switzerland, China’s Research and Development (R&D) has performed outstandingly in HCR. The National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China pointed out that in 2022, the Chinese government’s R&D investment exceeded 3 trillion yuan (The State Council of the People's Republic of China, 2023 ). China’s emphasis on basic research and major technological infrastructure is increasing. In addition, thanks to the large-scale market scale, China’s MS has performed excellently. MS drives innovation in emerging enterprises in various ways. For example, green investments in China drive enterprises to engage in green innovation activities by alleviating financing constraints (Zhang et al., 2023 ). This is conducive to stimulating the innovation vitality of enterprises and improving NIC. On BS, multiple government departments in China have introduced various measures to reform intellectual property rights, demonstrating commitment to further enhancing the country’s innovation capability (The State Council Information Office of the People’s Republic of China, 2022 ). In addition, both countries have performed well in INF. As the common combination of high and upper-middle-income countries, the HCR*MS*BS combination needs relatively more emphasis, as well as INF.

figure 10

Common path to high NIC.

Theoretical implications

First, this study improves the transparency and replicability of innovation paths in different economies by analyzing the time effects of NIS elements on the necessity and combinatorial effects of NIC and broadens the perspective of NIS-related theoretical research. This study finds that no single element is a necessary condition for high NIC and that the necessity consistency of INF for NIC increases over time. In other words, the importance of INF for NIC in high- and upper middle-income economies is gradually increasing. In addition, four configurations can generate high NIC for high-income economies, while two configurations can do the same for upper middle-income economies. The combination of HCR, MS, and BS was found to generate high NIC in both types of economies. Previous studies have shown that the combination of INS, HCR, INF, and BS can generate high NIC (Khedhaouria and Thurik, 2017 ). This study further expands the timeliness of the impact of this configuration: from 2011 to 2022, it can steadily drive some high-income economies to achieve high NIC. Overall, this study characterizes the interdependence and evolutionary path of NIS elements, providing reference for different economies to optimize resource allocation worldwide.

Second, this study makes another important contribution regarding research methods. Previous studies have only analyzed configurations that generate high GII within a given year (Crespo and Crespo, 2016 ; Khedhaouria and Thurik, 2017 ; Huarng and Yu, 2022 ). Limited by Cross-sectional data, the evolution trend of innovation paths in different economies has not been further revealed. Since the global innovation landscape is constantly evolving, researchers need to investigate the impact of time on fsQCA results. This study builds on innovative attempts to incorporate time effects into the fsQCA method (Garcia-Castro and Ariño, 2016 ; Guedes et al., 2016 ; Beynon et al., 2020 ), thereby revealing a stable configuration of NIS elements that generate consistently high NIC. As an extension of previous studies on GII and NIC, this study emphasizes the time effect of INF’s necessity consistency and that there is a path for generating high NIC in both high- and upper middle-income economies. In summary, this study takes an important step in advancing research methods, which provides a robust and universal interpretation of global innovation trends.

Management implications

This study has practical implications for different economies. First, the increase in INF’s necessity consistency for high NIC indicates the rising importance of this element. High- and upper middle-income economies should further strengthen infrastructure construction; optimize infrastructure layout, structure, functions, and development models, and promote further improvements in innovation capabilities.

Second, the results show that the HCR*MS*BS configuration can promote the generation of high NIC in both types of economies. Therefore, managers should pay more attention to the interaction mechanisms among these three factors. In particular, it is important to improve the education system and provide talent resources to activate innovation. In addition, diversification of the trade market should be promoted by optimizing the credit system and venture capital projects. Similarly, managers should prioritize the role of knowledge-based BS in improving NIC, and promote knowledge absorption and creation by increasing connections between industry, academia, and research while also optimizing research and development efficiency.

Finally, the results indicate that no single NIS element can generate high NIC. Four configurations can drive high-income economies to generate high NIC, while two configurations can do the same in upper middle-income economies. Therefore, different economies should focus on the combined effect of NIS elements and the interaction mechanisms between them. To efficiently improve NIC, government decision-makers should choose the paths best suited for their current development level.

Limitations and future study directions

This study has some limitations. First, we only analyzed the configurations that generated high NICs from 2011 to 2022 and did not consider the configurations that generated low NIC. The latter is also worth studying to alert countries with lagging innovation. Accordingly, future research could further analyze the configurations that cause low NIC, and provide a more comprehensive interpretation of GII Reports and the global innovation environment.

Second, although this study used fsQCA with panel data to analyze NIC, and addressed the lack of time effects in previous studies employing fsQCA, we did not analyze the order of the role of the elements. Future research could combine other methods and tools to conduct a more detailed analysis of this complex problem.

Third, this study uses innovation inputs from the GII Report as NIS elements. Future research could further expand the analytical perspective by incorporating other possible key elements, thereby increasing understanding of how the NIS influences NIC.

This study explores the dynamic impact on NIC of the five NIS elements: institutions, human capital and research, infrastructure, market sophistication, and business sophistication. The fsQCA results reveal four stable configurations that can generate high NIC in high-income economies, and two stable configurations producing the same outcome in upper middle-income economies. One path (HCR*MS*BS) can continuously drive both types of economy to achieve high NIC. The panel data results show a time effect on the necessity consistency of INF for high NIC, indicating that it plays an increasingly important role. This study depicts the evolution trend of the global innovation landscape, improves the transparency and replicability of innovation paths for different economies, and provides robust data support for adjusting innovation strategies for each economy. Therefore, further developing NIS to enhance NIC is a key measure for achieving sustainable development in different income economies. The research results will help different economies adjust innovation policies, optimize the allocation of innovation factors, and improve innovation capability. Overall, the research findings greatly contribute to improving understanding of this exploratory topic.

Data availability

The datasets used and analyzed during the present study are available from the Corresponding author upon reasonable request or openly available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2022.108818 .

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by Major Projects on Philosophy and Social Sciences of The Ministry of Education, “Research on Comprehensively Improving the Quality of Domestic Talent Development under New Circumstances” (No. 23JZD045). We would like to thank the editor and reviewers whose suggestions and comments greatly helped to improve and clarify the manuscript. Yangjie Huang, Sihui Li and Leilei Huang as corresponding authors.

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Yangjie Huang: Funding acquisition, project administration, writing—original draft, review and editing. Sihui Li: Conceptualization, methodology, data analysis, writing—original draft, review and editing. Xiyuan Xiang: writing—original draft. Leilei Huang: review and editing. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

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The process and procedures used in this study adhere to the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki. Ethics approval was obtained from the Professor Committee at the Institute of China innovation and entrepreneurship education, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, China. The ethical approval protocol number 2021-01.

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Huang, Y., Li, S., Xiang, X. et al. Analyzing the configuration of the National Innovation System for Innovation Capability: evidence from Global Innovation Index reports. Humanit Soc Sci Commun 11 , 1266 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-024-03792-x

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